790
FXUS64 KSJT 011837
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
137 PM CDT WED APR 1 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS MOST OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
- THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING INTO EARLY
SATURDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 136 PM CDT WED APR 1 2026
THE MAIN CONCERN OVER THE NEXT 24 IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. A DRYLINE IS FORECAST TO SHARPEN WEST
OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON, WITH AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPING TO THE EAST. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
APPROACH THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING,
RESULTING IN LARGE SCALE ASCENT. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE DRYLINE TO OUR
WEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. INITIALLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SUPERCELLS
ARE EXPECTED, WITH EVENTUAL GROWTH INTO A LINE OR BROKEN LINE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY MID EVENING AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES INTO
OUR WESTERN COUNTIES. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERNS, ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR
NORTHERN COUNTIES. BACKBUILDING OF CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS
EVENING AND THURSDAY MORNING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CONCHO VALLEY AND HEARTLAND. THIS MAY RESULT IN FLOODING, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS LOW LYING AREAS AND URBAN AREAS. WPC HAS ADDED A SLIGHT RISK
OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA
FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE CONVECTION SHOULD SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTH
AND EAST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION
SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA BY MID MORNING.
OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE FORECAST TO BE MILD, GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR
MOST LOCATIONS, EXCEPT ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES WHERE HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE LOWER 80S. LINGERING CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
SHOULD HELP TO KEEP TEMPERATURES FOR THESE AREAS SLIGHTLY COOLER.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 107 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
QUIET WEATHER RETURNS ON THURSDAY BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED
AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM AFFECTS THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SOUTH WINDS WILL LIGHTER ON THURSDAY, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS MAINLY
IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S. A POTENT SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS
THE ROCKIES THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE PLAINS BY FRIDAY/FRIDAY
NIGHT. A DRYLINE WILL SET UP ACROSS WEST TEXAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON,
WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE
AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, AND AGAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG TO SEVERE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, ALTHOUGH
DETAILS REGARDING THE EXTENT OF SEVERE WEATHER ARE LIMITED AT THIS
TIME. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE POTENTIAL, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE AND MUCH OF THE AREA IS IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL, WHICH MAY LEAD TO SOME FLOODING CONCERNS.
SOME LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTHERN SECTIONS
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, OTHERWISE DRY AND CONSIDERABLY COOLER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SUNDAY WILL BE THE
COOLEST DAY, WITH HIGHS ONLY IN 60S, WARMING INTO THE UPPER 60S
AND LOWER 70S BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE
CHILLY, WITH LOWS IN THE 40S SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP WEST OF THE TAF SITES THIS
EVENING, THEN MOVE EAST AFFECTING THE TAF SITES BETWEEN 01Z AND
11Z. ANY THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL. IN ADDITION, ANY STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL. STRATUS WILL AFFECT MAINLY KJCT AND KBBD, AFTER
06Z, RESULTING IN MVFR CEILINGS. EXPECT GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO
15 KNOTS, DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 63 87 65 81 / 90 0 10 60
SAN ANGELO 62 87 64 82 / 90 0 10 50
JUNCTION 61 82 63 84 / 60 20 10 30
BROWNWOOD 62 83 64 80 / 90 40 10 30
SWEETWATER 62 88 65 82 / 80 0 10 60
OZONA 62 84 64 80 / 80 0 10 40
BRADY 62 80 64 80 / 80 40 10 30
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...DANIELS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page