690
FXUS64 KSJT 020853
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
353 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 345 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
MULTIPLE BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THIS MORNING
MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU, NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY,
AND HEARTLAND. THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE WEST TEXAS MESONET IN MENARD HAS
RECEIVED ABOUT 2.5 INCHES OVER THE LAST COUPLE HOURS SO THE
STRONGEST STORMS HAVE BEEN VERY EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS.
EXPECT THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE OUT OF OUR AREA BY BY
DAYBREAK AS UPPER LEVEL LIFT MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION. SKIES
WILL CLEAR THIS AFTERNOON AND OUR TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 60S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 202 PM CDT WED APR 1 2026
ON FRIDAY, A POTENT UPPER LOW AND TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. OUR AREA WILL BE IN A WARM AND MOIST SECTOR, AHEAD
OF A DRYLINE IN WEST TEXAS AND SOUTH OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. BY MID-TO-LATE
AFTERNOON, MLCAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE 1500-2500 J/KG WITH MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES BETWEEN 7 AND 8 DEG C, ALONG WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES 1.4 TO 1.6 INCHES. DESPITE THE FAVORABLE INSTABILITY
AND MOISTURE PARAMETERS, NOT CERTAIN IN HOW MUCH THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE WE WILL HAVE IN OUR AREA. LARGE SCALE LIFT WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW AND TROUGH WILL BE FOCUSED TO OUR NORTH.
AT THIS TIME ANTICIPATE SCATTERED OR WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR 35-40 KNOTS, STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. WARM AND RELATIVELY HUMID CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S.
COULD HAVE INCREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE COLD
FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY MORNING. WITH THIS BEING A STRONGER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER FOR EASTER WEEKEND. OUR NORTHERN
(BIG COUNTRY) COUNTIES SHOULD HAVE PARTIAL CLEARING SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR INFILTRATES THAT AREA. CLOUD COVER SHOULD
LINGER OVER THE AREA FARTHER SOUTH, AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF OUR AREA.
HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES MAY HAVE A LINGERING CHANCE OF SHOWERS
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING, WHEN A WEAK EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE
ALOFT MAY MOVE EAST OVER THE AREA. OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES SHOULD
HAVE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WHILE CLOUD COVER LINGERS FARTHER SOUTH.
EXPECT LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT TO BE IN THE MID 40S TO NEAR 50, WITH
HIGHS SUNDAY MOSTLY IN THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70.
QUIET WEATHER IS INDICATED FOR OUR AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH
COOL NIGHTS AND PLEASANT DAYS. AN EXTENSIVE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE IS PROGGED TO EXTEND FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
SOUTHWEST INTO TEXAS. MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE
EXPECTED MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. MORNING LOWS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN
THE 40S MONDAY AND TUESDAY, AND IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S
WEDNESDAY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S MONDAY WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S BY WEDNESDAY, WITH
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS DEVELOPING ON WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1235 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. HEAVY THUNDER MOVING OVER THE TERMINALS
WILL RESULT IN TEMPORARY REDUCTIONS IN VISBY AND CIGS. THE BULK OF
THE ACTIVITY SHOULD EXIT OUR AREA BY DAYBREAK. MVFR CIGS SHOULD
LIFT TO VFR BY THE AFTERNOON, WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 87 65 83 54 / 0 0 60 90
SAN ANGELO 88 64 83 55 / 0 10 60 80
JUNCTION 85 63 85 59 / 20 10 30 70
BROWNWOOD 84 64 81 55 / 30 10 40 90
SWEETWATER 88 66 84 53 / 0 0 70 90
OZONA 86 65 80 58 / 0 10 50 70
BRADY 82 64 81 58 / 30 10 40 80
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...42
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