944
FXUS64 KSJT 030448
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1148 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
- MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES EASTER WEEKEND AND BREEZY ON SATURDAY.
- DRY AND COOL WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH
WARMER TEMPERATURES BY MID WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL
TRACK EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY,
PUTTING US IN A FAVORABLE POSITION (IN THE WARM AND MOIST SECTOR
AHEAD OF A DRYLINE) FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ON
FRIDAY. THIS ALONG WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL HELP PRIME
THE ENVIRONMENT OVER MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TO POTENTIALLY
SEE SOME STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SATURDAY. CURRENTLY AS OF NOON TODAY, SPC HAS MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS UNDER A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER, WITH THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY IN A SLIGHT RISK. THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR THE SLIGHT RISK TO SLIDE FURTHER SOUTH BETWEEN NOW
AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON, SO PLEASE REMAIN AWARE AND KEEP AN EYE OUT
FOR ANY FUTURE UPDATES. AT THIS TIME, WE ARE ANTICIPATING
SCATTERED OR WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FRIDAY, WITH LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS,
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE MAIN
THREATS.
OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S,
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY BEING SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN TODAY
IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY,
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DECREASING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
DURING THE DAY. BREEZY AND MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT ON SATURDAY, WITH HIGHS PRIMARILY IN THE MID AND
UPPER 60S. LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER OVER FAR SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EASTER SUNDAY,
AS A FEW MINOR DISTURBANCES ALOFT MOVE THROUGH. ANY PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK, WITH COOL TEMPERATURES PERSISTING.
WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE AREA BY MID TO LATE WEEK,
WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. MODELS
SHOW A SUBSTANTIAL UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS BY LATE WEEK. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM, LOW RAIN
CHANCES RETURN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BY NEXT WEEKEND, AS
THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 511 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
MVFR CEILINGS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT. EXPECT WINDS
TO PICK BACK UP AGAIN LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ANOTHER LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OUT AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY (60-80% CHANCE)
DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.
LARGE HAIL AND ERRATIC, DAMAGING WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 87 66 82 53 / 0 0 60 90
SAN ANGELO 88 65 82 54 / 0 0 60 80
JUNCTION 87 64 85 58 / 20 0 20 80
BROWNWOOD 85 64 82 55 / 20 0 40 90
SWEETWATER 87 66 81 53 / 0 0 70 90
OZONA 87 66 81 57 / 0 0 50 80
BRADY 84 65 82 56 / 30 0 30 80
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...41
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