671
FXUS64 KSJT 050502
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1202 AM CDT SUN APR 5 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY TO WINDY THIS AFTERNOON. COOLER TEMPERATURES EASTER
WEEKEND.
- DRY AND COOL WEATHER WILL PERSIST FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK, WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 128 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WERE GUSTING 30 TO 40 MPH AT TIMES AT
1 PM CDT. WINDS WILL WEAKEN TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS EVENING, AND
EVENTUALLY 5 TO 10 MPH. LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE
MID/UPPER 40S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS, WITH PATCHY MID AND UPPER
LEVEL CLOUDS.
SKIES FOR EASTER MORNING WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY ALONG I-10 AND THE
NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY. PARTLY CLOUDY ARE EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH
IN THE CONCHO VALLEY AND ESPECIALLY IN THE BIG COUNTRY, WHERE ONLY
PATCHY HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A LIGHT
SHOWER IN CROCKETT COUNTY AND WESTERN SUTTON COUNTY. WINDS WILL BE
BE MAINLY NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY MORNING, INCREASING TO
10 TO 15 MPH LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL RANGE
FROM 65 DEGREES ALONG I-10 TO 70 IN THE BIG COUNTRY.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT SUN APR 5 2026
WEAK RIDGING ALOFT WILL HELP KEEP MILD AND PLEASANT HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND 70S FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY, WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. HOWEVER, THESE MILD
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY COOLER OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THIS COMING WEEK.
MODELS ARE SHOWING A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE TRACKING
THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING INCREASED CLOUD COVER TO
THE AREA, ALONG WITH SOME INCREASED CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS AND
BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. A WARMER AND MOIST AIRMASS
UNDER SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RETURNING TO THE 70S
ON WEDNESDAY AND UPPER 70S TO MID 80S ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLE MEANS ARE STARTING TO SHOW A
FAIRLY POTENT UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CALIFORNIA
COAST ON THURSDAY GRADUALLY SWEEPING SOUTHEASTWARD OVER WEST TEXAS
BY THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND. THIS FEATURE ALONG WITH A SERIES OF
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES COULD HELP BRING MORE MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY TO THE REGION, INCREASING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
FOR THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
SYSTEM CLOSELY FOR INCREASED SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY
RAINFALL/FLOODING POTENTIAL. FROM WHAT WE ARE SEEING SO FAR IN THE
MODEL GUIDANCE, THERE IS A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
EXCEEDING ONE INCH WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGH CLOUD
COVER AND SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD
MAINLY THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS. INITIALLY
GUSTY NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AND EXPECT
NORTHEAST WINDS 7-9 KNOTS TONIGHT. ON SUNDAY, EXPECT NORTHEAST OR
EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 11-14 KNOTS AFTER 15Z WITH GUSTS
18-22 KNOTS. WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE IN THE EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 69 45 72 47 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 69 46 71 46 / 10 10 0 0
JUNCTION 67 45 71 44 / 10 20 0 0
BROWNWOOD 68 44 71 44 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 69 46 72 49 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 65 47 70 48 / 20 20 0 10
BRADY 65 45 68 45 / 0 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...19
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