164
FXUS64 KSJT 131738
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1238 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1226 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
EXPECT WARMER AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND FROM THE SOUTH. EXPECT HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE UPPER 80S AND 90S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 60S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND, KEEPING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S TO LOWER TRIPLE
DIGITS ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH HIGHS
ELSEWHERE RANGING IN THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S. HIGHS ON SUNDAY
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIHGLTY COOLER IN THE MID 80S TO MMID 90S,
WITH THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL RANGE IN THE MID 60S TO
MID 70S. MODELS ARE SHOWING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN BIG COUNTRY THURSDAY
EVENING, BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOWER AT THIS TIME.
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK SOME BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING MOVES INTO THE
REGION, BRINGING SOME SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO THE AREA. THIS
WILL COOL TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE LOWER 80S TO LOWER 90S FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK, AND BRING SOME INCREASED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERALLY BE DRIVEN DIURNALLY
(FROM DAYTIME HEATING) EACH AFTERNOON FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. THERE REMAINS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY THIS FAR OUT, SO
FOR NOW HAVE KEPT POPS IN THE LOW TO MEDIUM RANGE (20-50%).
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 5-10KT ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD INCREASE AFTER 12Z
TOMORROW WITH GUSTS OVER 20KT POSSIBLE AT SOME LOCATIONS AFTER 15Z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 93 67 94 73 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 93 66 92 71 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 92 63 91 67 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 89 63 90 67 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 96 69 96 73 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 90 64 90 68 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 88 64 89 68 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...SK
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