588
FXUS64 KSJT 141834
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
134 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
EXPECT HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH HIGHS IN
THE 90S, UPPER 90S NORTHWEST BIG COUNTRY. ALSO, A DEVELOPING
SURFACE TROUGH/DRYLINE TO OUR WEST WILL RESULT IN BREEZY
SOUTH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 35 MPH. EXPECT
MAINLY A DRY FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN BIG
COUNTRY THIS EVENING PER HI-RES MODELS. THE SEVERE THREAT LOOKS
VERY LOW BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT GUSTY WINDS WITH ANY STORMS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH UNSEASONABLY HOT AND GENERALLY
DRY CONDITIONS REMAINING IN THE FORECAST ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS
WILL REACH INTO THE LOWER 90S TO LOWER TRIPLE DIGITS ACROSS THE
BIG COUNTRY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH HIGHS ELSEWHERE RANGING IN
THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S. HIGHS ON SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SLIGHTLY COOLER IN THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S, WITH THE WARMEST
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY. OVERNIGHT LOWS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL RANGE IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. AN
ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE DRYLINE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING IN OUR WESTERN COUNTIES, HOWEVER, MAINLY
DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO PREVAIL THROUGH SUNDAY.
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK SOME BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING MOVES INTO THE
REGION, BRINGING SOME UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT TO THE AREA. THIS WILL COOL TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE LOWER
80S TO LOWER 90S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK, AND BRING
SOME INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
GENERALLY BE DRIVEN DIURNALLY (FROM DAYTIME HEATING) EACH
AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
THIS FAR OUT, SO FOR NOW HAVE KEPT POPS IN THE LOW TO MEDIUM RANGE
(20-50%). HIGHS EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE IN THE MID 80S TO MID
90S, WITH THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO OCCUR ACROSS OUR
NORTHWEST COUNTIES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 30-35 KTS MAY OCCUR
ESPECIALLY FOR ABI AND SJT TERMINALS. THERE IS ALSO A VERY LOW (10-
20%) CHANCE OF -TS FOR ABI, SJT, AND SOA SITES LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING (23Z-03Z), THOUGH CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW
TO IMPLEMENT TS PROB30 OR TEMPOS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 73 96 72 96 / 10 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 72 94 69 94 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 67 91 66 90 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 68 91 67 91 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 74 100 72 101 / 20 10 0 0
OZONA 69 90 67 90 / 10 10 0 0
BRADY 68 90 67 89 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...KL
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