047
FXUS64 KSJT 091750
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1250 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THIS WEEK.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (10-30%) OF THE NEED FOR A HEAT ADVISORY
FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
- A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (20-60%) OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 147 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY, WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ANCHORED TO OUR EAST. CANNOT RULE
OUT A FEW VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. OTHERWISE,
MOST EVERYONE WILL REMAIN DRY. MORNING STRATUS WILL GRADUALLY
BURN OFF IN THE AFTERNOON GIVING WAY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S, WITH GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 147 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED ACROSS TEXAS WILL RESULT IN HOT AND
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. THE HOTTEST DAY WILL BE
THURSDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES
ON THURSDAY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY COULD APPROACH 102 TO 105, SO
A HEAT ADVISORY MIGHT BE NEEDED. ON FRIDAY, AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL SWING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS SENDING A COLD FRONT SOUTH
TOWARD THE RED RIVER. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT, TO OUR NORTH. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD
SNEAK INTO THE BIG COUNTRY FRIDAY MORNING INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON,
BUT THE MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA.
IF THE FRONT MOVES A BIT FARTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST,
SOME HIGHER RAIN CHANCES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE AREA. FOR NOW, KEPT LOW (20-30%) RAIN CHANCES FOR THIS
TIME FRAME.
AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK, A LARGE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS, WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES AND NORTHWEST MEXICO.
THIS WILL RESULT IN SLOWLY DECREASING TEMPERATURES AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL, IN THE MID 90S, WITH HIGHS EARLY NEXT
WEEK DROPPING DOWN INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. A COLD FRONT
WILL TRACK SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK (MOST LIKELY
MONDAY) BUT THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIMING OF THIS
FEATURE. FOR NOW LOW TO MEDIUM (20-60%) RAIN CHANCES ARE IN THE
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1250 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
CLOUD CEILINGS HAVE CLIMBED TO 4000-5000 FT AT ALL OF OUR TAF
SITES AS OF MIDDAY TODAY, AND EXPECT SOME DECREASE IN CLOUD COVER
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS
EARLY TONIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. EXPECT
MVFR CEILINGS WITH THE LOW CLOUD COVER. SIMILAR TO TODAY, EXPECT
CEILINGS TO CLIMB ABOVE 3000FT IN THE MID-TO-LATE MORNING. SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE DAY
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT THE HIGHER WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS TO BE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AND AGAIN BY MID-TO-LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 74 95 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 72 95 75 97 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 71 94 73 95 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 72 95 75 97 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 73 96 75 99 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 71 91 73 93 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 71 93 73 94 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....DANIELS
AVIATION...18
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