297
FXUS64 KSJT 140527
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1227 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- INCREASED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH, SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY. SOME POSSIBILITY FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND FLOODING.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK (SUNDAY INTO
TUESDAY), WITH HOTTER TEMPERATURES RETURNING WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.
- TEMPERATURES OR HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY REACH OR EXCEED 105
DEGREES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A HEAT ADVISORY IS POSSIBLE FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 122 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
MILD AND HUMID TEMPERATURES ARE ONCE AGAIN FORECAST OVERNIGHT.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S, WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY
TOWARD DAYBREAK, WHICH WILL BRING SOME LOW (20-30%) RAIN CHANCES.
THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY, WITH
LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) RAIN CHANCES, MAINLY FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE AREA. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 80S TO NEAR 90 ACROSS
THE BIG COUNTRY WHERE AN EARLIER FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED TO THE
LOW TO MID 90S ELSEWHERE.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1226 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
THE RAIN WILL END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ON MONDAY WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES, HIGHS 80 TO 85. THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN
LIGHT. THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT HEAT EVENT IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH HIGHS OF 100 TO 105. THE
HOTTEST DAY WILL BE THURSDAY WITH A MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCE OF HEAT
INDEX VALUES REACHING 110 FOR A FEW LOCATIONS. HEAT ADVISORIES AND
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED MID TO LATE THIS WEEK. AN
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURN
NEXT WEEKEND WITH SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS. PLEASE KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION
FOR POSSIBLE HEAT HEADLINES LATER THIS WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 647 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING, THEN STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. WILL
MAINTAIN MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS, WITH CEILINGS LIFTING TO VFR (AROUND 5K FT CEILINGS) AFTER
17Z. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH AND REACH KABI
BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND KSJT BY LATE AFTERNOON. WIDELY SCATTERED
CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH AND WILL INCLUDE
A PROB30 GROUP FOR KABI THIS FORECAST CYCLE. SCATTERED CONVECTION
IS POSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH BUT WILL LIKELY BE AFTER 15/00Z. EXPECT
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS OVERNIGHT, BECOMING LIGHT EAST/NORTHEAST AT
KABI AND KSJT FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 90 67 81 68 / 40 50 50 0
SAN ANGELO 92 68 81 68 / 20 60 50 0
JUNCTION 95 71 84 69 / 20 60 70 30
BROWNWOOD 92 69 81 68 / 30 70 50 10
SWEETWATER 89 66 81 66 / 30 40 40 0
OZONA 92 70 83 68 / 10 70 60 10
BRADY 91 69 79 68 / 20 70 70 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...24
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