757
FXUS64 KSJT 180432
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1132 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST NEXT WEEK WITH STEADILY
CLIMBING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 127 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY (AS OF 2:15 PM CDT) SHOWS A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN COVERAGE OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EARLIER THIS
MORNING. WE STILL EXPECT POCKETS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO REMAIN A
CONCERN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS CROCKETT,
SUTTON, AND SCHLEICHER COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS NEAR
2-4" MAY ACCUMULATE BEFORE THIS ACTIVITY ENDS. WITH ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS, RUNOFF FROM ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL OCCUR VERY
QUICKLY LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. THEREFORE, WE WILL CONTINUE THE
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING.
WE ALSO WILL CONTINUE TO SEE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS RIVERS, CREEKS,
AND STREAMS THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. IT WILL TAKE A WHILE TO
COMPLETELY DRAIN ALL OF THE FLOOD WATERS THAT ARE CURRENTLY
FLOWING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HILLY TERRAIN ON, OR NEAR, THE I-10
CORRIDOR. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON, A WEEKEND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL STILL
REMAIN ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS. THIS WILL
BE ENOUGH SUPPORT FOR A LOW CHANCE (30%) OF AN ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM. THIS WILL BE FOR LOCATIONS THAT ARE
ACROSS AREAS TO THE WEST OF A HASKELL TO ROBERT LEE LINE. THEN FOR
SUNDAY, ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIAL ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE
IN PLACE FOR THOSE SAME LOCATIONS.
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO MAKE A RETURN ACROSS
THE REGION. HOTTER AND DRIER WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED TO SETTLE
ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE A RETURN TO THE
UPPER 90S AND TRIPLE DIGITS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1123 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
STRATUS WILL SPREAD NORTH DURING THE MORNING HOURS RESULTING IN
MVFR CEILINGS AT THE SOUTHERN 4 SITES. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO
RETURN BY MID TO LATE MORNING. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME
SOUTH AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 12 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER GUSTS, LATE
SATURDAY MORNING. EXPECT WINDS TO DECREASE TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS
SATURDAY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 87 72 89 72 / 80 10 10 10
SAN ANGELO 85 70 88 70 / 80 10 10 10
JUNCTION 86 71 89 71 / 20 0 10 0
BROWNWOOD 87 71 90 72 / 20 10 10 10
SWEETWATER 85 70 89 71 / 70 10 20 10
OZONA 83 69 86 70 / 80 0 10 10
BRADY 85 70 88 70 / 20 10 10 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...DANIELS
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