807
FXUS64 KSJT 180506
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1206 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST NEXT WEEK WITH STEADILY
CLIMBING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 127 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY (AS OF 2:15 PM CDT) SHOWS A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN COVERAGE OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EARLIER THIS
MORNING. WE STILL EXPECT POCKETS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO REMAIN A
CONCERN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS CROCKETT,
SUTTON, AND SCHLEICHER COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS NEAR
2-4" MAY ACCUMULATE BEFORE THIS ACTIVITY ENDS. WITH ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS, RUNOFF FROM ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL OCCUR VERY
QUICKLY LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. THEREFORE, WE WILL CONTINUE THE
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING.
WE ALSO WILL CONTINUE TO SEE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS RIVERS, CREEKS,
AND STREAMS THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. IT WILL TAKE A WHILE TO
COMPLETELY DRAIN ALL OF THE FLOOD WATERS THAT ARE CURRENTLY
FLOWING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HILLY TERRAIN ON, OR NEAR, THE I-10
CORRIDOR. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
A WEAK REMNANT DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL BE OVER FAR WEST TEXAS ON
SUNDAY. WITH WEAK LIFT AND SOME REMAINING MOISTURE EAST OF THIS LOW,
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUR WESTERN COUNTIES, MAINLY WEST OF A ROTAN TO ROBERT LEE TO
OZONA LINE. HIGHS ON SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER
90S, WITH A FEW UPPER 80S IN THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.
OUR AREA WILL SEE A PATTERN MORE TYPICAL OF MID-SUMMER NEXT WEEK,
WITH HOTTER AND DRIER CONDITIONS. A FAIRLY LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH
WILL BE SHIFTING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND NORTH TEXAS. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO BE CENTERED OVER THE
RED RIVER WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHS MONDAY WILL RANGE FROM AROUND
90 IN THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU, TO THE MID 90S IN MOST OF THE
CONCHO VALLEY AND BIG COUNTRY. WITH AN INCREASING TREND IN
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK, HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER/MID 90S IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES,
TO 100-103 DEGREES IN MUCH OF THE BIG COUNTRY AND PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN CONCHO VALLEY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1123 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
STRATUS WILL SPREAD NORTH DURING THE MORNING HOURS RESULTING IN
MVFR CEILINGS AT THE SOUTHERN 4 SITES. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO
RETURN BY MID TO LATE MORNING. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME
SOUTH AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 12 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER GUSTS, LATE
SATURDAY MORNING. EXPECT WINDS TO DECREASE TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS
SATURDAY EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 89 72 92 73 / 10 10 10 0
SAN ANGELO 88 70 92 71 / 10 10 10 0
JUNCTION 89 71 91 71 / 10 0 10 0
BROWNWOOD 90 72 92 72 / 10 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 89 71 91 72 / 20 10 20 10
OZONA 86 70 87 70 / 10 10 10 0
BRADY 88 70 90 70 / 10 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...DANIELS
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