691
FXUS64 KSJT 181101
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
601 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST NEXT WEEK WITH STEADILY
CLIMBING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 258 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT HAS BEEN RESULTING IN HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE
REGION HAS MOVED A BIT TO THE NORTHWEST THIS MORNING, CURRENTLY
CENTERED ACROSS THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY LITTLE TODAY.
MEANWHILE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS
OF TEXAS. THE POSITION OF THE LOW TO OUR NORTHWEST WILL KEEP THE
HIGHER RAIN CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST. STILL,
AT LEAST ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES. OTHERWISE, MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY TODAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE BELOW NORMAL, IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
A WEAK REMNANT DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL BE OVER FAR WEST TEXAS ON
SUNDAY. WITH WEAK LIFT AND SOME REMAINING MOISTURE EAST OF THIS LOW,
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUR WESTERN COUNTIES, MAINLY WEST OF A ROTAN TO ROBERT LEE TO
OZONA LINE. HIGHS ON SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER
90S, WITH A FEW UPPER 80S IN THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.
OUR AREA WILL SEE A PATTERN MORE TYPICAL OF MID-SUMMER NEXT WEEK,
WITH HOTTER AND DRIER CONDITIONS. A FAIRLY LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH
WILL BE SHIFTING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND NORTH TEXAS. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO BE CENTERED OVER THE
RED RIVER WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHS MONDAY WILL RANGE FROM AROUND
90 IN THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU, TO THE MID 90S IN MOST OF THE
CONCHO VALLEY AND BIG COUNTRY. WITH AN INCREASING TREND IN
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK, HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER/MID 90S IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES,
TO 100-103 DEGREES IN MUCH OF THE BIG COUNTRY AND PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN CONCHO VALLEY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 536 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND SOME VERY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE DISRUPTING
STRATUS DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY. PATCHY STRATUS
DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE AT THE KJCT AND KSOA SO HAVE
INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP FOR MVFR CEILINGS. VFR CEILINGS WILL RETURN
TO ALL SITES BY MID TO LATE MORNING. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
10 TO 15 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER GUSTS, BY MID TO LATE MORNING. WINDS
WILL QUICKLY DECREASE TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS THIS EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 89 72 92 73 / 10 10 10 0
SAN ANGELO 88 70 92 71 / 10 10 10 0
JUNCTION 89 71 91 71 / 10 0 10 0
BROWNWOOD 90 72 92 72 / 10 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 89 71 91 72 / 20 10 20 10
OZONA 86 70 87 70 / 10 10 10 0
BRADY 88 70 90 70 / 10 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...DANIELS
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