923
FXUS64 KSJT 181752
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1252 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST NEXT WEEK WITH STEADILY
CLIMBING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 258 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT HAS BEEN RESULTING IN HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE
REGION HAS MOVED A BIT TO THE NORTHWEST THIS MORNING, CURRENTLY
CENTERED ACROSS THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY LITTLE TODAY.
MEANWHILE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS
OF TEXAS. THE POSITION OF THE LOW TO OUR NORTHWEST WILL KEEP THE
HIGHER RAIN CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST. STILL,
AT LEAST ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES. OTHERWISE, MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY TODAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE BELOW NORMAL, IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
A WEAK REMNANT DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL BE OVER FAR WEST TEXAS ON
SUNDAY. WITH WEAK LIFT AND SOME REMAINING MOISTURE EAST OF THIS LOW,
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUR WESTERN COUNTIES, MAINLY WEST OF A ROTAN TO ROBERT LEE TO
OZONA LINE. HIGHS ON SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY IN THE LOWER
90S, WITH A FEW UPPER 80S IN THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.
OUR AREA WILL SEE A PATTERN MORE TYPICAL OF MID-SUMMER NEXT WEEK,
WITH HOTTER AND DRIER CONDITIONS. A FAIRLY LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH
WILL BE SHIFTING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND NORTH TEXAS. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO BE CENTERED OVER THE
RED RIVER WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHS MONDAY WILL RANGE FROM AROUND
90 IN THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU, TO THE MID 90S IN MOST OF THE
CONCHO VALLEY AND BIG COUNTRY. WITH AN INCREASING TREND IN
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK, HIGHS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER/MID 90S IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES,
TO 100-103 DEGREES IN MUCH OF THE BIG COUNTRY AND PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN CONCHO VALLEY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026
VFR CEILINGS HAVE GENERALLY RETURNED TO ALL TERMINALS EXCEPT KABI,
WHICH HAS SOME LINGERING MVFR CEILINGS THAT ARE SOON TO CLEAR
OUT. BREEZY SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KTS WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 25
KTS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
KJCT. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECREASE TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS THIS
EVENING, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MVFR CEILINGS TO RETURN ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS EXCEPT KABI OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
CONFIDENCE WAS TOO LOW AT THIS TIME TO ADD A TEMPO GROUP FOR MVFR
TO KABI, BUT THERE REMAINS SMALL CHANCE FOR MVFR CONDITIONS TO
DEVELOP BRIEFLY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 72 91 73 95 / 0 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 70 91 71 94 / 10 20 0 0
JUNCTION 71 91 71 93 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 72 92 72 95 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 70 90 72 94 / 20 20 0 0
OZONA 70 87 71 90 / 10 10 0 0
BRADY 70 90 71 93 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...TP
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