338
FXUS64 KSJT 191106
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
606 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST NEXT WEEK WITH STEADILY
CLIMBING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 120 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED INTO THE WESTERN BIG COUNTRY
YESTERDAY EVENING HAVE DISSIPATED. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE
REST OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CURRENTLY CENTERED ACROSS WEST TEXAS,
NEAR THE PERMIAN BASIN. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SOUTHWEST
TODAY. SIMILAR TO WHAT WE SAW YESTERDAY, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP JUST WEST OF THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY DRIFT INTO OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A FEW OF THE CAMS
INDICATE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS PARTS
OF THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES, THE
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEEMS REASONABLE.
EXTENDED LOW END (15-20%) RAIN CHANCES EAST TO INCLUDE THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGHS TODAY WILL STILL BE BELOW NORMAL,
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER
70S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1209 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
DRY PATTERN STILL LOOKS TO RETURN FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH AND BUILD
INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK TO NEAR OR A
LITTLE ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS, WITH THE HOTTEST READINGS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA CLOSEST TO THE CENTER OF THE
RIDGE. AFTERNOON HIGHS APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING THE 100 DEGREE
MARK LOOK POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN.
WILL WATCH THE TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE GULF, WHICH A FEW OF THE
MODELS HAVE DRIFTING WEST THIS WEEK. EVEN WITH THAT SAID, THOSE
SAME MODELS DON'T SHOW MUCH IN THE WAY OF ANY PRECIPITATION
CHANCES SO A DRY FORECAST LOOKS LIKELY EVEN THEN.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 521 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
PATCHY STRATUS IS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY BUT SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO
12 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER GUSTS, BY MID TO LATE MORNING SUNDAY.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT KSJT AND KABI
BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE CURRENT TAFS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 92 73 95 74 / 20 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 91 71 94 71 / 20 0 0 0
JUNCTION 91 71 93 69 / 10 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 92 72 95 72 / 10 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 91 72 94 73 / 30 10 0 0
OZONA 88 70 90 70 / 10 10 0 0
BRADY 90 71 93 70 / 10 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...DANIELS
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