365
FXUS64 KSJT 191752
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1252 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST NEXT WEEK WITH STEADILY
CLIMBING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 120 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED INTO THE WESTERN BIG COUNTRY
YESTERDAY EVENING HAVE DISSIPATED. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE
REST OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CURRENTLY CENTERED ACROSS WEST TEXAS,
NEAR THE PERMIAN BASIN. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SOUTHWEST
TODAY. SIMILAR TO WHAT WE SAW YESTERDAY, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP JUST WEST OF THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY DRIFT INTO OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A FEW OF THE CAMS
INDICATE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS PARTS
OF THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES, THE
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEEMS REASONABLE.
EXTENDED LOW END (15-20%) RAIN CHANCES EAST TO INCLUDE THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGHS TODAY WILL STILL BE BELOW NORMAL,
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER
70S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1209 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
DRY PATTERN STILL LOOKS TO RETURN FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH AND BUILD
INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK TO NEAR OR A
LITTLE ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS, WITH THE HOTTEST READINGS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA CLOSEST TO THE CENTER OF THE
RIDGE. AFTERNOON HIGHS APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING THE 100 DEGREE
MARK LOOK POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN.
WILL WATCH THE TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE GULF, WHICH A FEW OF THE
MODELS HAVE DRIFTING WEST THIS WEEK. EVEN WITH THAT SAID, THOSE
SAME MODELS DON'T SHOW MUCH IN THE WAY OF ANY PRECIPITATION
CHANCES SO A DRY FORECAST LOOKS LIKELY EVEN THEN.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TERMINALS
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME
PATCHY STRATUS TO DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND CREATE A BRIEF
WINDOW OF MVFR CONDITIONS. HOWEVER, THE CHANCES WERE LOW ENOUGH TO
NOT INCLUDE IN THIS TAF PACKAGE. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT AND PICK BACK UP FROM THE SOUTH MONDAY
MORNING FROM 8 TO 12 KTS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE AT KSJT AND KABI THIS EVENING, BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW
TO INCLUDE IN THE CURRENT TAFS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 73 95 74 98 / 10 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 72 94 71 97 / 10 0 0 0
JUNCTION 72 94 69 96 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 72 95 72 98 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 72 95 73 98 / 20 0 0 0
OZONA 71 90 70 93 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 71 94 70 96 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...TP
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