203
FXUS64 KSJT 200519
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1219 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THIS WEEK WITH STEADILY
CLIMBING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO POP UP
THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND BIG
COUNTRY. GIVEN THE MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE AND REMNANT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES, EXPECT TO SEE SCATTERED STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH ANY OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
BRING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK FOR
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. HOTTEST READINGS WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS THE BIG
COUNTRY CLOSEST TO THE RIDGE, WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB ABOVE
THE 100 DEGREE MARK. WILL LIKELY BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER TO THE
SOUTH, BOTH FARTHER FROM THE RIDGE AND WHERE THEY WILL STILL HAVE
WET SOILS FROM THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL.
DOES LOOK LIKE SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL BE LOW ENOUGH THAT HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL STAY BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR NOW, BUT ACTUAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY MAY BEGIN TO INCH TOWARDS THE
105 DEGREE CRITERIA BY MID WEEK. A FUTURE HEAT ADVISORY MAY END
UP BEING NEEDED.
WILL ALSO KEEP AN EYE ON THE TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE GULF. TOO MANY
UNKNOWNS TO DO MUCH WITH IT NOW, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT WINDS
OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTH AND INCREASE TO 8 TO 12 KNOTS, WITH
HIGHER GUSTS, BY LATE MORNING. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT MONDAY
EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 96 73 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 95 70 98 71 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 95 70 96 70 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 96 72 98 73 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 95 73 99 74 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 91 70 93 70 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 95 70 97 72 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...DANIELS
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