886
FXUS64 KSJT 201750
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1250 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THIS WEEK WITH STEADILY
CLIMBING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 154 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER WEST TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK
WEST TOWARD NORTHERN MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO BY TUESDAY
MORNING. AS THE FEATURE MOVES AWAY FROM WEST CENTRAL TEXAS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS WILL
RESULT IN HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY TO
THE LOW TO MID 90S ELSEWHERE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
BRING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK FOR
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. HOTTEST READINGS WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS THE BIG
COUNTRY CLOSEST TO THE RIDGE, WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB ABOVE
THE 100 DEGREE MARK. WILL LIKELY BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER TO THE
SOUTH, BOTH FARTHER FROM THE RIDGE AND WHERE THEY WILL STILL HAVE
WET SOILS FROM THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL.
DOES LOOK LIKE SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL BE LOW ENOUGH THAT HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL STAY BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR NOW, BUT ACTUAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY MAY BEGIN TO INCH TOWARDS THE
105 DEGREE CRITERIA BY MID WEEK. A FUTURE HEAT ADVISORY MAY END
UP BEING NEEDED.
WILL ALSO KEEP AN EYE ON THE TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE GULF. TOO MANY
UNKNOWNS TO DO MUCH WITH IT NOW, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING, THEN INCREASING BACK OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 8 TO 10
KNOTS MAINLY ACROSS KSJT AND KABI BY LATE MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 74 99 76 101 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 71 98 72 100 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 70 98 71 100 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 72 99 74 101 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 73 100 75 102 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 70 95 71 97 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 71 98 73 100 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...TP
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