931
FXUS64 KSJT 081108
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
608 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A LOW CHANCE (10 TO 20 PERCENT) OF THUNDERSTORMS, SOME POSSIBLY
STRONG, DEVELOPING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY, THE
CONCHO VALLEY AND THE HEARTLAND THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING.
- HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 103 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
THE 500MB SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES
WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY. THE GLOBAL FORECAST MODELS AS WELL AS
THE HRRR EXPECT LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO INCREASE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CWA WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING LATER TODAY. WITH
A 500MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS...THERE SHOULD BE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
POSSIBLY STRONG...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY, THE CONCHO
VALLEY AND THE HEARTLAND THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.
WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 102...ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY
LOCALIZED MICROBURSTS. WILL MENTION STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, RESULTING IN HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 100.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY, THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST, TOWARD
TEXAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY HOTTER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 103, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
70S
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 608 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY,
CONCHO VALLEY AND HEARTLAND. WILL NOT ADD THUNDER AT THIS TIME AT
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS AND WATCH RADAR TRENDS FOR
POSSIBLE AMENDMENTS. THE CONVECTION SHOULD DISSIPATE BY EARLY THIS
EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 100 76 99 76 / 20 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 98 73 98 73 / 10 10 0 0
JUNCTION 96 71 96 72 / 10 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 98 73 97 74 / 10 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 100 75 100 75 / 20 10 0 0
OZONA 94 71 94 72 / 10 10 0 0
BRADY 95 72 95 72 / 10 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...61
LONG TERM....DANIELS
AVIATION...21
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