815
FXUS64 KSJT 081744
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1244 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A LOW CHANCE (10 TO 20 PERCENT) OF THUNDERSTORMS, SOME POSSIBLY
STRONG, DEVELOPING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY, THE
CONCHO VALLEY AND THE HEARTLAND THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING.
- HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 103 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
THE 500MB SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES
WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY. THE GLOBAL FORECAST MODELS AS WELL AS
THE HRRR EXPECT LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO INCREASE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CWA WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING LATER TODAY. WITH
A 500MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS...THERE SHOULD BE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
POSSIBLY STRONG...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY, THE CONCHO
VALLEY AND THE HEARTLAND THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.
WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 102...ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY
LOCALIZED MICROBURSTS. WILL MENTION STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, RESULTING IN HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 100.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY, THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST, TOWARD
TEXAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY HOTTER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 103, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
70S
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
TERMINALS. CONFIDENCE IN COVERAGE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN
THE TAFS BUT WILL MONITOR RADAR TRENDS THIS AFTERNOON AND AMEND AS
NECESSARY. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 75 99 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 72 97 73 97 / 10 0 0 0
JUNCTION 71 95 71 95 / 10 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 72 97 73 97 / 10 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 74 99 75 100 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 70 93 71 93 / 10 0 0 0
BRADY 72 95 72 94 / 10 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...61
LONG TERM....DANIELS
AVIATION...42
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