040
FXUS64 KSJT 010511
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1211 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST
HALF OF THIS WEEK. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK
DUE TO DRY VEGETATION, HOT TEMPERATURES AND LOWER AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 249 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WITH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON THE
SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE OUR LOW LEVEL WINDS OUR GENERALLY
FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. A MID LEVEL CUMULUS FIELD HAS DEVELOPED
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON, BUT TEMPERATURES HAVE
STILL CLIMBED INTO THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED TO OUR NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. NOT MUCH
CHANGE EXPECTED COMPARED TO TODAY, WITH TEMPERATURES BACK IN THE
MID 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES AND BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1210 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED OVER TENNESSEE INTO THE
CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM
EDOARD IS FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. OUR AREA CAN EXPECT HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 90S IN OUR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES, AND UPPER 90S TO 102 ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF OUR AREA.
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, OUR EASTERN
AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES (GENERALLY EAST OF A BROWNWOOD TO JUNCTION
LINE) WILL HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE (15-25 PERCENT) OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS THURSDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO WEDNESDAY. WITH A
SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE 850MB THERMAL RIDGE FRIDAY ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER, HIGHS SHOULD BACK OFF A FEW DEGREES
FRIDAY.
THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO SHIFT BACK TO THE WEST
AND NORTH OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST AND GREAT PLAINS DURING THE
WEEKEND. THIS IS EXPECTED TO KEEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL AND
KEEP ANY RAIN CHANCES MINIMAL SATURDAY INTO MONDAY. DAILY HIGHS
SHOULD BE MOSTLY IN THE MID 90S IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES, MID AND
UPPER 90S IN OUR CENTRAL COUNTIES, AND UPPER 90S TO 101 ACROSS THE
BIG COUNTRY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 615 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS, WITH SOME BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS DIMINISHING TO
LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME BREEZY AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING, WITH GUSTS
NOT EXPECTED TO SURPASS 15-20 KNOTS INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 99 76 100 76 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 98 73 100 74 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 97 71 98 72 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 97 72 98 72 / 0 0 10 0
SWEETWATER 99 76 101 77 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 95 71 96 72 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 95 72 97 72 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...TP
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