898
FXUS64 KSJT 030648
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
148 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (20-40%) FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK
DUE TO DRY VEGETATION AND HOT TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 145 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
WE WILL CONTINUE SITTING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE AND TO THE WEST OF THE REMNANTS OF EDOUARD. THIS
WILL LARGELY RESULT IN CONTINUED HOT AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN
THE UPPER 90S TO 104 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE
CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS (CAMS) INDICATE SOME VERY ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THE CAMS LARGELY PUT
THIS ACTIVITY OFF TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA, WHICH
WOULD BE EAST OF A BROWNWOOD TO MASON LINE. CHANCES ARE LOW,
HOWEVER, AT 20%. MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH TONIGHT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1238 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S TO NEAR 104 DEGREES. ALSO THE CAMS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS
OUR EASTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WILL CARRY 20-40% POPS, WITH THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO SLIDE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK BUT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND
DRY CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
EXPECT MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS THROUGHOUT TODAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 104 78 101 76 / 0 0 10 0
SAN ANGELO 102 75 101 73 / 0 0 10 10
JUNCTION 100 72 98 70 / 0 0 40 20
BROWNWOOD 101 73 95 70 / 20 20 30 10
SWEETWATER 104 78 103 76 / 0 0 10 0
OZONA 99 73 98 71 / 0 0 10 20
BRADY 100 73 95 71 / 10 10 30 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...41
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