813
FXUS64 KSJT 031756
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1256 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MEDIUM CHANCE (30-40%) FOR RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES TODAY AND FRIDAY.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO DRY
VEGETATION AND HOT TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 145 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
WE WILL CONTINUE SITTING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE AND TO THE WEST OF THE REMNANTS OF EDOUARD. THIS
WILL LARGELY RESULT IN CONTINUED HOT AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN
THE UPPER 90S TO 104 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE
CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS (CAMS) INDICATE SOME VERY ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THE CAMS LARGELY PUT
THIS ACTIVITY OFF TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA, WHICH
WOULD BE EAST OF A BROWNWOOD TO MASON LINE. CHANCES ARE LOW,
HOWEVER, AT 20%. MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH TONIGHT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1238 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S TO NEAR 104 DEGREES. ALSO THE CAMS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS
OUR EASTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WILL CARRY 20-40% POPS, WITH THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO SLIDE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK BUT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND
DRY CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE TERMINALS THE NEXT
24 HOURS. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM MAY DEVELOP
NEAR THE KBBD AND KJCT TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON, BUT DUE TO
SPARSE COVERAGE, WILL NOT CONSIDER MENTIONING AT THIS TIME.
EXPECT MAINLY LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 78 100 75 99 / 0 10 0 10
SAN ANGELO 75 100 72 98 / 0 20 10 10
JUNCTION 72 96 69 95 / 0 30 10 20
BROWNWOOD 72 94 70 96 / 10 20 0 10
SWEETWATER 78 102 75 100 / 0 10 10 0
OZONA 73 97 70 94 / 0 20 20 10
BRADY 73 93 70 93 / 10 20 10 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...24
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page