533
FXUS64 KSJT 040540
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1240 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- MEDIUM CHANCE (30-50%) FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL COUNTIES TODAY.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN FOR MUCH OF THE AREA, MAINLY SOUTH OF I-20
LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WHATS LEFT OF THE
REMNANTS OF EDOUARD, MAINLY TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES THIS MORNING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. THE ACTIVITY WILL PICK UP A LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE HI-RES MODELS INDICATING CONVECTION MAINLY ACROSS THE
CONCHO VALLEY AND NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. GOING WITH MEDIUM
CHANCE POPS ACROSS THIS AREA. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
SLIGHTLY COOLER TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S TO NEAR 100 TO 103
ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AND MUCH OF THE BIG COUNTRY. PLEASE
FOLLOW HEAT SAFETY PRECAUTIONS. GOING WITH MAINLY A DRY FORECAST
FOR MUCH OF TONIGHT, BESIDES A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
THIS EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN A CONTINUATION OF ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON, BUT MOST OF US WILL REMAIN DRY. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE
TO INFLUENCE OUT WEATHER THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK, WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING FOR OUR AREA.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
THE HI-RES MODELS ARE INDICATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD
LINE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GOING WITH A FEW HOURS OF THUNDER AT MOST
OF THE TERMINALS, BESIDES KBBD/KABI KEEPING DRY FOR NOW.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 99 75 99 76 / 20 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 100 72 98 72 / 40 10 0 0
JUNCTION 95 70 95 70 / 40 10 20 0
BROWNWOOD 93 69 97 70 / 30 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 102 75 100 75 / 20 10 0 0
OZONA 97 71 95 71 / 30 20 10 0
BRADY 91 70 94 71 / 20 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...21
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