150
FXUS64 KSJT 041800
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
100 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MEDIUM CHANCE (30-50%) FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL COUNTIES TODAY.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN FOR MUCH OF THE AREA, MAINLY SOUTH OF I-20
LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WHATS LEFT OF THE
REMNANTS OF EDOUARD, MAINLY TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES THIS MORNING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. THE ACTIVITY WILL PICK UP A LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE HI-RES MODELS INDICATING CONVECTION MAINLY ACROSS THE
CONCHO VALLEY AND NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. GOING WITH MEDIUM
CHANCE POPS ACROSS THIS AREA. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
SLIGHTLY COOLER TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S TO NEAR 100 TO 103
ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AND MUCH OF THE BIG COUNTRY. PLEASE
FOLLOW HEAT SAFETY PRECAUTIONS. GOING WITH MAINLY A DRY FORECAST
FOR MUCH OF TONIGHT, BESIDES A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
THIS EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN A CONTINUATION OF ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON, BUT MOST OF US WILL REMAIN DRY. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE
TO INFLUENCE OUT WEATHER THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK, WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING FOR OUR AREA.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1255 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
MAINLY A VFR FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR THIS AFTERNOON,
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON. ANY ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS IS EXPECTED
TO DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET. WILL MAINTAIN PROB30 GROUPS TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS POTENTIAL. SOME TEMPORARY REDUCTION TO VISIBILITY CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH CONVECTION, ALONG WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS. OTHERWISE,
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD, BUT AN OCCASIONAL
GUSTS NEAR 17 KNOTS IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 75 100 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 72 98 72 98 / 20 10 0 0
JUNCTION 70 95 69 95 / 10 20 0 20
BROWNWOOD 69 97 71 97 / 0 0 0 10
SWEETWATER 75 100 76 99 / 10 0 0 0
OZONA 71 95 71 94 / 20 20 0 10
BRADY 70 94 71 94 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...24
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