959
FXUS64 KSJT 041912
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
212 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- MEDIUM CHANCE (30-50%) FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL COUNTIES TODAY.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
THE MAIN CONCERN IS THE SHORT TERM WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 THIS AFTERNOON.
THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AND NORTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU, WHERE A MEDIUM CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION REMAINS
IN THE FORECAST TODAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS, ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER
OF TONIGHT, WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW/MID 70S. SATURDAY
WILL BE MAINLY DRY AND HOT, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS FROM THE MID 90S
TO AROUND 102 DEGREES. CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM
TOMORROW ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR AFTERNOON, SO WILL KEEP A SMALL
AREA OF LOW RAIN CHANCES IN ACROSS THIS AREA.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, AND WILL CONTINUE
TO DOMINANT OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF THE NEXT WEEK. THIS
PATTERN WILL KEEP HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS INTACT ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. DAYTIME HIGHS EACH DAY WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID 90S TO AROUND 102 DEGREES, HIGHEST ACROSS THE CONCHO
VALLEY AND BIG COUNTRY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S
AND LOW/MID 70S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1255 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
MAINLY A VFR FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR THIS AFTERNOON,
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON. ANY ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS IS EXPECTED
TO DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET. WILL MAINTAIN PROB30 GROUPS TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS POTENTIAL. SOME TEMPORARY REDUCTION TO VISIBILITY CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH CONVECTION, ALONG WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS. OTHERWISE,
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD, BUT AN OCCASIONAL
GUSTS NEAR 17 KNOTS IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 75 100 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 72 98 72 98 / 20 10 0 0
JUNCTION 70 95 69 95 / 10 20 0 20
BROWNWOOD 69 97 71 97 / 0 0 0 10
SWEETWATER 75 100 76 99 / 10 0 0 0
OZONA 71 95 71 94 / 20 20 0 10
BRADY 70 94 71 94 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...24
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