592
FXUS64 KSJT 080547
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1247 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN THE
SOUTHERN PART OF OUR AREA.
- HOT AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER WEST TEXAS AND WESTERN
OKLAHOMA WILL STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES HOT, AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOW OR
NONEXISTENT. THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
STORMS FOR AREAS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A BROWNWOOD TO SONORA LINE
THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT, LOWS WILL WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 70S,
ALTHOUGH A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE BIG COUNTRY MAY ONLY FALL TO 80
DEGREES. TOMORROW, WE WILL SEE TEMPERATURES WARM A DEGREE OR TWO
OVERALL, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 90S TO AROUND 103. WILL HOLD OFF ON
ISSUING A HEAT ADVISORY FOR NOW AS IF WE DO SEE ANY HEAT INDEX
VALUES AT 105, THEY WILL BE VERY ISOLATED NORTH OF I-20.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THIS WEEK, THE
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL UNDERGO A SHIFT. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
THAT IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA, BUT SPRAWLS INTO
THE SOUTHEASTERN U. S., WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS, WITH HEIGHTS GRADUALLY FALLING OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. SO, WHILE THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE WILL MOVE
OUT OF OUR AREA, WE WILL STILL REMAIN GENERALLY UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF THIS UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE, WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING WELL ABOVE NORMAL, AND EVEN WARMING A FEW DEGREES
GENERALLY. WITH TEMPERATURES ACTUALLY WARMING SLIGHTLY BETWEEN NOW
AND NEXT WEEKEND, WE COULD MAKE A RUN AT RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
AS HAS BEEN MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS, A VERY WEAK COLD
FRONT MAY APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTH LATER THIS WEEK. IN
ADDITION, WE WILL BE LOCATED WITHIN A GENERAL WEAKNESS COMPARED TO
STRONGER RIDGING TO OUR WEST. WITH THIS IN MIND, HAVE KEPT SOME
LOW END (~20%) SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS
LOW IN ANY SIGNIFICANT COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS LESS THAN 10KT. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO COULD
OCCUR BETWEEN 21-03Z BUT CONFIDENCE ON THIS WAS LOW SO THIS WAS
NOT INCLUDED IN THE TAFS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 100 78 100 77 / 0 0 10 10
SAN ANGELO 99 74 99 74 / 10 0 10 10
JUNCTION 98 72 97 71 / 0 0 10 10
BROWNWOOD 98 73 97 72 / 0 0 10 10
SWEETWATER 100 78 100 77 / 0 0 10 10
OZONA 96 72 96 72 / 0 0 10 10
BRADY 96 73 95 72 / 0 0 10 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...SK
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