816
FXUS64 KSJT 102032
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
332 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTY
WINDS AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERNS. LIGHTNING STRIKES
MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL WILDFIRES.
- HOT TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY DRY WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 319 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
A LINE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE I-20 CORRIDOR
(AS OF 3:20 PM CDT) WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THIS
EVENING. SMALL HAIL (PEA SIZE), GUSTY WINDS (40 TO 50 MPH), AND
LIGHTNING ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES
THROUGH. SOME POCKETS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE OCCURRING AT
TIMES WITH VERY ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND AN INCH (1"). WE WILL
REMAIN UNDER A MARGINAL RISK FOR BOTH SEVERE WEATHER AND EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THAT POTENTIALLY LEADS TO FLOOD RELATED ISSUES FOR THE
REMAINDER OF TODAY.
OTHERWISE, CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE FOR TONIGHT WITH ONLY A
LINGERING RAIN SHOWER OR TWO LEFTOVER. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DROP
DOWN INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S. HOT AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS
WILL RETURN FOR FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO 102 DEGREES.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 319 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO REINFORCE ITSELF ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGHOUT THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL START THE RETURN OF HOT AND
DRY CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN. HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR 104 DEGREES ARE
FORECAST ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY ON SATURDAY. SIMILAR CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK, BUT WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES. LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WEAKENED
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BY THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK. THIS MAY
ALLOW FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A FEW LOW CHANCES (20%) FOR
RAIN. THIS REMAINS RATHER UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT, HOWEVER.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR TSRA TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE AREA,
WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES AT KABI, SO HAVE KEPT THE PROB30 GROUP
GOING THERE. HAVE NOT INTRODUCED TSRA AT ANY OTHER SITES JUST YET,
WITH LOW CONFIDENCE IN PLACEMENT AND COVERAGE, BUT THE MOST LIKELY
LOCATIONS TO SEE ANY TSRA WOULD BE KSJT AND KBBD. OTHERWISE,
CONTINUED SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE 5 TO 10 KNOT RANGE,
WITH ONLY ISOLATED GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS OUTSIDE OF ANY
THUNDERSTORM GUSTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 75 100 77 103 / 30 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 73 100 74 102 / 20 10 0 0
JUNCTION 71 99 72 100 / 20 20 0 10
BROWNWOOD 71 99 72 101 / 30 10 0 0
SWEETWATER 75 101 77 104 / 30 10 0 0
OZONA 72 98 73 99 / 10 0 10 0
BRADY 72 97 72 99 / 20 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...20
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