087
FXUS64 KSJT 122331
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
631 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HEAT ADVISORY FOR THE BIG COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
- HOT TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY DRY WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2026
LATEST CAMS SHOW A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
HILL COUNTRY FOR A FEW HOURS AROUND SUNSET, AND HAVE INCLUDED SOME
SMALL POPS DOWN THERE. OTHERWISE, MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN HOT AND
DRY. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY LOOK A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN
TODAY, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES LIKELY JUST BELOW CRITERIA FOR
ANOTHER ADVISORY. WILL HOLD OFF FOR NOW AND CAN SEE IF WE NEED TO
ADD ONE LATER IF IT LOOKS MORE LIKELY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US WILL BE THE MAIN
WEATHER FACTOR ACROSS THE AREA INTO MID WEEK, KEEPING THE HOT AND
DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ROUGHLY 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS NEAR THE 100 DEGREE
MARK. STILL LOOKS LIKE THE PATTERN MAY FINALLY SHOW SOME CHANGE
FOR LATE NEXT WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL US AND THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST. TEMPERATURES START
TO COOL BACK DOWN INTO THE MID 90S FOR FRIDAY, WITH A CHANCE FOR
CONVECTION AND TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES RETURNING FOR
SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 618 PM CDT SAT SEP 12 2026
PATCHY STRATUS IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE HILL COUNTRY
OVERNIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS LOW AS TO HOW FAR NORTH THIS STRATUS
WILL SPREAD BUT WILL INTRODUCE A TEMPO GROUP AT KJCT TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL PREVAIL, WITH GUSTY WINDS AGAIN ON SUNDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 77 101 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 74 100 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 71 98 71 97 / 10 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 73 100 73 99 / 10 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 77 102 76 101 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 72 97 72 95 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 72 97 72 96 / 10 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CALLAHAN-FISHER-
HASKELL-JONES-NOLAN-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...42
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