997
FXUS64 KSJT 191732
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1232 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL START TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
SURFACE HIGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT EAST AND A STEADY SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL PREVAIL. NBM BOOSTS HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID
80S IN MANY LOCATIONS, BUT MOST OF THE HI RESOLUTION MODELS ARE
MORE IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S. WILL SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE FOR NOW
AND SHOW HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80. NOT AS COOL TONIGHT
WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1243 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS BACK IN ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. EXPECT INCREASING TEMPERATURES TO BE THE MAIN
RESULT. HIGHS WILL BE BACK INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S BY MID WEEK.
A DISTURBANCE ALOFT IS INDICATED IN THE LONG RANGE MODELS FOR NEXT
WEEKEND. HOWEVER, CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES IN THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
SYSTEM EXIST BETWEEN THE MODELS. A LOW (20%) CHANCE FOR RAIN IS THE
BEST THAT CAN BE ADDED TO THE FORECAST AT THIS POINT GIVEN THE
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1212 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STRATUS IS
FORECAST TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU
AFTER 12Z, RESULTING IN MVFR CEILINGS AT KSOA. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE OTHER SITES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 53 80 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 53 81 54 84 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 54 80 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 52 78 53 81 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 53 79 57 82 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 54 76 54 81 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 52 78 53 80 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...DANIELS
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