626
FXUS64 KSJT 200532
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1232 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL START TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.
- INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 128 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BRINGING A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS, ALONG WITH DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S, AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WARMING INTO THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE PLAINS BY MID TO LATE WEEK,
IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE
RIDGE WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
DURING THE DAY, WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY, WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 50S.
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND, AS THE UPPER STORM SYSTEM TO THE WEST PUSHES EAST ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. STILL SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM THIS WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK, BUT
NBM LOW TO MEDIUM (20%-40%) RAIN CHANCES SEEM REASONABLE FOR NOW.
IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN CHANCES, COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN,
WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THE FOLLOWING TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
IN GENERAL, VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. A FEW OF THE HI-RES MODELS DO
TRY TO BRING SOME MVFR CIGS TO AT LEAST THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS FOR
A FEW HOURS SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. THIS MAY BE A LITTLE TOO FAST
BUT WILL INCLUDE A BRIEF MENTION IN THE TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 80 57 84 58 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 81 55 84 56 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 81 53 82 54 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 79 54 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 79 57 82 59 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 76 55 80 56 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 79 53 80 54 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...07
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