672
FXUS64 KSJT 201131
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
631 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL START TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.
- INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WHILE THE
SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS OFF TO THE EAST. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST RETURN
FLOW FROM THE GULF HAS STARTED, ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
RETURN ONLY SLOWLY. MAY SEE SOME BRIEF LOW CLOUDS THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR, BUT THESE SHOULD BREAK UP FAIRLY QUICKLY
AND LEAVE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ONCE AGAIN. AS EXPECTED YESTERDAY,
NBM BLENDS WERE A LITTLE FAST WITH THE WARM UP AND IT MAY BE A
DEGREE OR TWO TOO WARM FOR THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL. WILL DROP HIGHS
DOWN AGAIN JUST SLIGHTLY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE PLAINS BY MID TO LATE WEEK,
IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE
RIDGE WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
DURING THE DAY, WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY, WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 50S.
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND, AS THE UPPER STORM SYSTEM TO THE WEST PUSHES EAST ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. STILL SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM THIS WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK, BUT
NBM LOW TO MEDIUM (20%-40%) RAIN CHANCES SEEM REASONABLE FOR NOW.
IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN CHANCES, COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN,
WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THE FOLLOWING TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
SOME VERY PATCHY LOW CLOUDS ARE TRYING TO CREEP UP THE RIO GRANDE
EARLY THIS MORNING, AND WILL CONTINUE A MENTION OF SOME BRIEF MVFR
CIGS IN THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 79 57 84 58 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 80 55 84 56 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 80 53 82 54 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 79 54 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 78 57 82 59 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 76 55 80 56 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 78 53 80 54 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...07
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