137
FXUS64 KSJT 201733
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1233 PM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL START TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.
- INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WHILE THE
SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS OFF TO THE EAST. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST RETURN
FLOW FROM THE GULF HAS STARTED, ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
RETURN ONLY SLOWLY. MAY SEE SOME BRIEF LOW CLOUDS THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR, BUT THESE SHOULD BREAK UP FAIRLY QUICKLY
AND LEAVE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ONCE AGAIN. AS EXPECTED YESTERDAY,
NBM BLENDS WERE A LITTLE FAST WITH THE WARM UP AND IT MAY BE A
DEGREE OR TWO TOO WARM FOR THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL. WILL DROP HIGHS
DOWN AGAIN JUST SLIGHTLY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE PLAINS BY MID TO LATE WEEK,
IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE
RIDGE WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
DURING THE DAY, WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY, WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 50S.
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND, AS THE UPPER STORM SYSTEM TO THE WEST PUSHES EAST ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. STILL SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM THIS WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK, BUT
NBM LOW TO MEDIUM (20%-40%) RAIN CHANCES SEEM REASONABLE FOR NOW.
IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN CHANCES, COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN,
WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THE FOLLOWING TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST TERMINALS
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ONLY CAVEAT IS KSOA WHO WILL SEE A
BRIEF WINDOW OF MVFR CEILINGS ON AND OFF THIS AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD, WITH A SLIGHT UPTICK TO SOUTHERLY 8 TO 10 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE RETURNING TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY TONIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 58 84 59 85 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 55 84 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 52 82 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 54 82 56 82 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 57 83 59 84 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 54 81 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 53 80 55 81 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...TP
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