819
FXUS64 KSJT 211838
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
138 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH
TEMPERATURES 4-7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE WEEKEND.
- INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
THE WEATHER IS QUIET FOR OUR AREA IN THE SHORT TERM, WITH A RIDGE
ALOFT CENTERED OVER WEST TEXAS AND A LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES SOUTHWEST INTO TEXAS. WITH
LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT AND CLEAR SKIES, TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S IN OUR SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL COUNTIES, AND MID TO UPPER 50S IN THE BIG COUNTRY. THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST A BIT ON THURSDAY AND BE CENTERED
OVER TEXAS. WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE AND THE 850MB THERMAL RIDGE
STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY, HIGHS THURSDAY WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL AND IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 6-
12 MPH.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS ON FRIDAY WILL
SHIFT EAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DURING THE WEEKEND, AS AN
UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS ON FRIDAY, WITH THE
SOUTHERN PORTION DEVELOPING A CUTOFF LOW WHICH MOVES INTO ARIZONA ON
SATURDAY, AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO ON SUNDAY. WITH MOISTENING
LOW-LEVEL SOUTH-SOUTHEAST FLOW, EXPECT AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER
DURING THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL BE PLEASANT OVERALL, ALBEIT 4-
7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH MORNING LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60
AND AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER COLORADO/NEW MEXICO SUNDAY EVENING WILL MOVE
EAST INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY. FAR WESTERN
PARTS OF OUR AREA WILL HAVE A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, AND LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN
CHANCES (20-40 PERCENT) WILL GRADUALLY EXPAND ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HALF OF OUR AREA ON MONDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT
(ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH) IS PROGGED TO MOVE
SOUTH INTO OUR AREA ON TUESDAY, AND BRING A POSSIBILITY OF
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. INCREASED
CLOUD COVER WILL HELP TO LIMIT DAYTIME HIGHS TO MOSTLY THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE A LITTLE COOLER BEHIND THE
FRONT IN THE BIG COUNTRY ON TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1154 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF
PERIOD. SOME MODEL DATA TRIES TO BRING IN A BRIEF WINDOW OF MVFR
CEILINGS ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR TONIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW
FOR INCLUSION AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 57 84 61 84 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 55 84 59 84 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 53 81 57 82 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 54 81 56 82 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 59 83 61 83 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 54 81 59 80 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 54 81 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...41
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