958
FXUS64 KSJT 220358
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1058 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
..NEW LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH
TEMPERATURES 4-7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE WEEKEND.
- INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATE
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
THE WEATHER IS QUIET FOR OUR AREA IN THE SHORT TERM, WITH A RIDGE
ALOFT CENTERED OVER WEST TEXAS AND A LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES SOUTHWEST INTO TEXAS. WITH
LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT AND CLEAR SKIES, TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP TO OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S IN OUR SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL COUNTIES, AND MID TO UPPER 50S IN THE BIG COUNTRY. THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST A BIT ON THURSDAY AND BE CENTERED
OVER TEXAS. WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE AND THE 850MB THERMAL RIDGE
STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY, HIGHS THURSDAY WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL AND IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 6-
12 MPH.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1057 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS ON FRIDAY
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST
STARTS TO MOVE INTO THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS REGION BY SUNDAY
MORNING. WITH MOISTENING LOW-LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW,
EXPECT AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER DURING THE WEEKEND. AS A SERIES
OF UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
TROUGH SWING THROUGH THE AREA, EXPECT INCREASING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES AT THIS TIME REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MEDIUM
RANGE (20-40 PERCENT), WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES ACROSS THE BIG
COUNTRY MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
A COLD FRONT TRACKING THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY, KEEPING SOME
LOWER (20-30 PERCENT) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN OVERALL PLEASANT AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL (AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL), WITH MORNING LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO AROUND 60 AND AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S THROUGH SATURDAY. THEN, WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER LIMITING
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES, TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY REMAIN IN THE
70S THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE A LITTLE COOLER
BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE BIG COUNTRY ON TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 605 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
THROUGH AT LEAST 18Z TOMORROW. THERE IS A LOW (<20%) CHANCE FOR SOME
MVFR CEILINGS AROUND SONORA TO OZONA FROM 12Z-15Z TOMORROW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 83 59 85 60 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 84 55 85 59 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 81 54 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 80 55 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 82 59 84 61 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 81 55 82 59 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 80 55 82 57 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...41
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