963
FXUS65 KSLC 130931
AFDSLC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
331 AM MDT FRI JUN 13 2025
SYNOPSIS
DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS DEVELOP AND ARE MAINTAINED
INTO THE WEEKEND. THESE VALUES LOOK TO PEAK AROUND SUNDAY AND
MONDAY, WITH FORECAST HIGHS GENERALLY AROUND 10 TO 20 DEGREES
ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL.
SHORT TERM (THROUGH 12Z/6AM SUNDAY)
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO PULL IN
DRIER AIR AND SWEEP OUT THE ALREADY LIMITED REMAINING MOISTURE
ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH FROM TODAY INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO RUN AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AS WE AHEAD INTO
THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSISTING. FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN GIVEN THE HOT,
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS, MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
UTAH, DEPENDING ON THE RECEPTIVENESS OF THE FUELS.
LONG TERM (AFTER 12Z/6AM SUNDAY)
THE LIKELIHOOD FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF HOT, DRY, AND WINDY
CONDITIONS CONTINUES TO APPEAR LIKELY INTO NEXT WEEK. STRONG
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE FOUR CORNERS PROVIDING STRONG
SUBSIDENCE LEADING TO MINIMAL RAIN CHANCES INTO NEXT WEEK.
MEANWHILE, TROUGHING OFF THE U.S. WEST COAST WILL TIGHTEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ALOFT AS IT SLIDES EAST RESULTING IN ENHANCED
WINDS ALOFT. THESE WINDS WILL TRANSLATE TO THE SURFACE YIELDING
GUSTY AFTERNOONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. ANOMALOUSLY
HOT TEMPERATURES ALSO INCREASE IN LIKELIHOOD ACROSS UT AND
SOUTHWEST WY WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL,
GRADUALLY INCREASING TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. WITH HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS INCREASE AREAWIDE (SEE
FIRE SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS).
THE CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER CONTINUES AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
ENHANCED DRY SOUTHWESTERLIES ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST. WITH FAVORABLE BOUNDARY LAYER
MIXING, THESE WINDS WILL MAKE IT DOWN TO THE SURFACE WITH EAST
RESULTING IN GUSTY AFTERNOONS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA INTO NEXT
WEEK. TO SUM IT ALL UP, DRY, HOT, AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE ENTIRETY OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST. BE SURE TO
DRESS APPROPRIATELY IF RECREATING OUTSIDE, DRINK PLENTY OF WATER,
AND LIMIT TIME IN THE SUN!
AVIATION
KSLC... ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT
THE KSLC TERMINAL. INITIALLY, WINDS WILL PREDOMINATELY BE OUT OF THE
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST, THOUGH A FEW SWITCHES TO NORTHWESTERLY ARE POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING. BY 17Z, WINDS WILL PREDOMINATELY BE SOUTHWESTERLY WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20KTS POSSIBLE BEFORE SWITCHING TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY
AROUND 21-22Z. GUSTS SHOULD SUBSIDE AROUND 00Z.
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING... GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS ALL SITES ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ACROSS ALL SITES WITH GUSTS UP TO
20KTS POSSIBLE FOR ALL SITES. ADDITIONALLY, THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
OUR SOUTHERN UT AND KEVW TO REACH 30KTS IN THE AFTERNOON AS WELL.
WINDS WILL DIE DOWN AND BECOME PREDOMINATELY TERRAIN DRIVEN BY
03Z.
FIRE WEATHER
THE NEXT 7 DAYS WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES, AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WITH VIRTUALLY ZERO
PRECIPITATION CHANGES. A WEAKENING, DRY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY,
BRINING AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWESTERLY DRY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION.
THIS WILL BRING THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS, DEPENDING ON THE RECEPTIVENESS OF FUELS.
THE OUTLOOK BEYOND DAY 7 IS NOT MUCH BETTER, WITH ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS LARGELY SUPPORTING A MORE ROBUST, DRY LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WHICH WOULD SUPPORT AN
INCREASE IN DRY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. THUS THE
8-14 OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER REMAINS FOR ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND BELOW AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CHURCH
LONG TERM...WORSTER
AVIATION...WORSTER
FIRE WEATHER...CHURCH
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY
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