299  
FNUS75 KSLC 091125  
FWSSLC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NEW CANYON...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT  
525 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MDT ON OCTOBER 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING NORTHWARD INTO UTAH WILL  
BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AS WELL AS AN INCREASING THREAT OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN THIS AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS ANTICIPATED NEAR ANY STORMS. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY, THE DAY WHERE PRECIPITATION  
WILL BE MOST WIDESPREAD, INTO SATURDAY DUE TO THE DEEP MOISTURE  
SURGE AND HIGH LEVELS OF INSTABILITY. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS AT  
THE BURN SITE ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 0.5 AND 1.0 INCH THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW WITH THE PASSAGE OF A  
COLD FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH UP TO TWO INCHES OF ACCUMULATION  
POSSIBLE.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT CLOUD COVER) THEN  
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT CLOUD  
COVER). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.25 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
CLIMATOLOGY......30-40TH PERCENTILE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12-18 MPH.  
CLEARING INDEX......700.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.25 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96-100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 12-18 MPH.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.25 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........96-100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
CLIMATOLOGY......20-30TH PERCENTILE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH.  
CLEARING INDEX......240.  
 
 
FORECASTER...TRAPHAGAN  
REQUESTED BY...KYLER HATCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523051.2/SLC  
.DELDT 10/09/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KYLER.HATCH@USDA.GOV,JOHN.D.PELL@USDA.GOV,RONALD.SORENSON@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab UT Page
The Nexlab ID Page
The Nexlab WY Page
Main Text Page