243
FXUS65 KSLC 061040
AFDSLC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
340 AM MST FRI FEB 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW TO PRIMARILY NORTHERN UTAH LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
- THE COOL AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS IMPACT THE
AREA.
DISCUSSION
THE RIDGE THAT WAS OVER THE AREA YESTERDAY HAS
SHIFTED EAST INTO COLORADO, PUTTING UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING
UNDER A GENERALLY DRY AND MILD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THIS MORNING.
A LOW IS TRACKING SOUTH ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST INTO MEXICO,
AND AN EJECTING WAVE FROM THAT SYSTEM IS BRINGING SOME LIGHT
ECHOES ON RADAR AS IT MOVES THROUGH SOUTHWEST UTAH, BUT LITTLE IF
ANY OF THIS RAIN IS HITTING THE GROUND. OVER THE WEEKEND THE LOW
WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO, PRODUCING LITTLE IF ANY IMPACTS
OVER OUR FORECAST AREA.
WITH THE RIDGE HAVING BEEN DISPLACED, A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN WILL
DEVELOP FOR NEXT WEEK. A PACIFIC NORTHWEST SYSTEM WILL BRING A
COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN UTAH LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, WITH
GUIDANCE CONTINUING TO SHOW NOTICEABLE SPREAD WITH RESPECT TO THE
TIMING. A BAND OF PRECIPITATION, MOST LIKELY VALLEY RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW, WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, BUT THE
PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO SHUT OFF QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT, WHICH
WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR ON ACCUMULATIONS.
THE COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL THEN CONTINUE THEREAFTER, WITH
A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS BRINGING CONTINUING POTENTIAL FOR AT
LEAST LIGHT PRECIPITATION. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT BY LATE
NEXT WEEK, THE STORMS THAT IMPACT THE AREA WILL BE LESS MOISTURE
STARVED, BUT COULD ALSO BE WARMER THAN NATURE, KEEPING THE SNOW IN
THE MOUNTAINS.
AVIATION...KSLC
VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE KSLC
TERMINAL THROUGH THE VALID TAF PERIOD WITH MINIMAL IMPACTS TO
OPERATIONS DUE TO WEATHER. LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL REVERT BACK TO
A NORTHERLY FLOW THIS AFTERNOON, WITH UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING OF
THE WIND SHIFT. NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND 21Z,
BUT MAY BE AS EARLY AS 19Z (25% CHANCE) AND AS LATE AS 22-23Z (25%
CHANCE). OTHERWISE, ANTICIPATE AN INCREASE IN MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL
CLOUD COVER.
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGHOUT UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING THROUGH
THE VALID TAF PERIOD. INCREASING MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER
IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE DAY, BUT CIGS
WILL REMAIN AT, OR ABOVE, 10KFT AGL. OTHERWISE, EXPECT SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5-10 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
AREAS AROUND THE GREAT SALT LAKE AND UTAH LAKE.
SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
PUBLIC...TRAPHAGAN
AVIATION...WEBBER
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY
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