300
FXUS65 KSLC 260507
AFDSLC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1007 PM MST WED FEB 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN UT
WITH ANOTHER 1-3" OF SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR HIGHER TERRAIN.
- RIDGING BUILDS BACK IN TOMORROW INTO FRIDAY BRINGING CONDITIONS
MORE FITTING FOR SPRING WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 5-15F ABOVE
AVERAGE THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.
- UNSETTLED WEATHER LOOKS TO RETURN AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT AS A
CLOSED LOW MOVES INLAND ACROSS CA.
DISCUSSION
CURRENTLY, OBSERVATIONS INDICATE AN ENHANCED BROAD
BELT OF WNW FLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION AS RIDGING BUILDS INTO OUR
SOUTHWEST. WHILE SUBSIDENCE WILL GENERALLY TAKE HOLD OVER MUCH OF
THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS,
OROGRAPHIC LIFT COUPLED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE ALOFT WILL ENABLE
SOME ISOLATED TERRAIN-DRIVEN SHOWERS THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN
UT. ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN UT, ANOTHER 1-3" OF SNOW
REMAINS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DRY OUT TO END THE WEEK.
AS GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHTS INCREASE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE
RIDGE NUDGING NORTH SOMEWHAT, WE CAN EXPECT TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TO REMAIN QUITE WARM THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. CURRENT
GUIDANCE HINTS AT WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
REACHING AROUND 5-15F ABOVE AVERAGE, WITH LOWER WASHINGTON COUNTY
MAKING A RUN AT 20F ABOVE AVERAGE WITH HIGHS APPROACHING 80F NEAR
ST. GEORGE.
AS WE ENTER THE WEEKEND, A STOUT UPPER LEVEL JET WITHIN THE NORTHERN
STREAM WILL PUSH INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA, FLATTENING THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S. WEAKENING IT
SOMEWHAT. AT THE SAME TIME, A CLOSED LOW WILL DEVELOP WITHIN THE
SOUTHERN STREAM AND CHURN OFF THE COAST OF CA BEFORE PROGRESSING
INLAND AS EARLY AS SATURDAY EVENING. DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE WILL SPREAD INLAND, PUSHING THE UPPER RIDGE FURTHER
SOUTHEAST AND CLOCK WINDS TO SOUTHWESTERLY. A WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN
PROGRESSING NORTH, STALLING OVER NORTHERN UT AND ASSIST WITH
PRODUCING LOWER ELEVATION RAIN SHOWERS AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN UT AS BETTER UPPER DYNAMICS MOVE IN WITH THE
TROUGH EJECTION.
ON SUNDAY, THE AFOREMENTIONED WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN TO TREK SOUTH AS
A COLD FRONT, CONTINUING TO SERVE AS A FOCAL POINT FOR PRECIPITATION
ACROSS NORTHERN UT AND CENTRAL UT. THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE PROGRESSING EAST, EXITING THE AREA BY TUESDAY EVENING.
AS WE APPROACH MIDWEEK, ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE BEGINS TO DIVERGE
REGARDING WHAT DEVELOPS NEXT. ENSEMBLE CLUSTERS ARE GENERALLY SPLIT
40% TO 60% WITH THE FORMER FAVORING TRANSIENT RIDGING FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN BRINGING ANOTHER
ROUND OF PRECIPITATION. THE LATTER, HOWEVER, FAVORS A STRONGER RIDGE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE INITIAL SYSTEM KEEPING THE AREA DRIER FOR AN
EXTRA DAY OR SO. REGARDLESS, LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO HINT
THAT THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE IN SOME CAPACITY GOING FORWARD,
ALBEIT QUITE WARM.
AVIATION...KSLC
THERE IS A 15-25% CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
IMPACTING THE TERMINAL OVERNIGHT WHICH COULD BRIEFLY RESULT IN
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION AND VARIABLE WINDS. OTHERWISE, THE SHIFT TO
SOUTH WINDS WILL BE LATE, BUT THERE IS A 40% CHANCE THAT WINDS WILL
REMAIN NORTHERLY THROUGH THE NIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING.
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY IMPACT
SOME TERMINALS FROM KPVU/KHCR NORTH THROUGH THE NIGHT. THESE SHOWERS
WILL BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION AND VARIABLE WINDS.
OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST
ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ACROSS SOUTHERN
UTAH, WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL TEND TO BE MORE LIGHT AND TERRAIN-DRIVEN
BEFORE BECOMING MORE NORTH TO NORTHWEST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
PUBLIC...WORSTER
AVIATION...CHENG
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page