495
FXUS65 KSLC 241720
AFDSLC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1120 AM MDT TUE MAR 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RECORD TO NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS THE AIRMASS TRENDS WARMER.
- A BRIEF COOLDOWN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH A DRY FRONT BEFORE
WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- THE NEXT CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION IS NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
RECORD BREAKING WARMTH IS EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN TODAY
AND TOMORROW ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA AS THE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS IN
PLACE ACROSS ARIZONA/UTAH. A SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN ALONG WITH A SAGGING PNW WILL BRING COOLER AIR INTO THE
REGION IN THE FORM OF A DRY FRONT ON THURSDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE, BUT THESE WILL REMAIN
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. NORTHERLY/NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY, BUT AGAIN THESE WINDS WILL
REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. THIS COOLER AIRMASS WILL STRUGGLE
TO MAKE MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN SOUTHERN UTAH WHERE TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN IN THE LOW 90S. HOWEVER, ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY, BUT
STILL ~5-8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WE QUICKLY
WARM BACK UP OVER THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES FLIRTING WITH
RECORDS ONCE AGAIN AS UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S REMAIN IN THE
FORECAST.
75% OF THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE NOW ON BOARD WITH A PATTERN SHIFT
SOME TIME NEXT WEEK. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE
TIMING OF A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE GREAT BASIN WITH SOME MEMBERS
AS EARLY AS NEXT TUESDAY, WHILE OTHERS HOLD OFF UNTIL THE END OF
THE WEEK. THE AIRMASS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH DOES NOT LOOK
PARTICULARLY COLD, SO WE ARE LIKELY GOING TO SEE MORE OF THE SAME
THAT WE HAVE SEEN THIS WINTER (HIGH SNOW LEVELS). THE REMAINING
25% OF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS KEEP THIS TROUGH IN THE PNW WITH MORE DRY
AND WARM CONDITIONS FOR OUR CWA.
AVIATION...KSLC
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS THE DOMINATING INFLUENCE,
BRINGING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO GENERALLY STAY LIGHT (LESS THAN 10 KTS) WITH DIRECTION SHIFTS AT
TYPICAL DIURNAL TIMES (SE ~02-04Z WED, NW ~17-19Z WED).
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE ONGOING
PATTERN AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL
FILTER IN OVERHEAD AT NORTHERN TERMINALS, BUT VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL
AREAWIDE. WINDS WILL TEND TO FOLLOW A DIURNALLY NORMAL PATTERN, WITH
SOME MODEST GUSTS MIXING IN AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND EXPOSED
TERMINALS (E.G. EVW/CDC).
SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...NONE.
WY...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR WYZ277.
PUBLIC...MAHAN
AVIATION...WARTHEN
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY
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