252
FXUS65 KSLC 061841
AFDSLC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1241 PM MDT MON APR 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.
- HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING THE LOW (10%)
THREAT OF GUSTY MICROBURST WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ACROSS SOUTHERN
UTAH THROUGH AROUND 8 PM THIS EVENING.
- AN UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY INTO THE NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
COINCIDENT WITH A SOUTHERN JET MAX. WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER
THIS MORNING, PEAK FORECAST SBCAPE HAS TRENDED LOWER, AROUND
100-150 J/KG. GIVEN 40-50 DEGREE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS, ANY HIGH-
BASED CONVECTION WILL BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY MICROBURST WINDS.
THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION THIS EVENING
INTO TONIGHT.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE WEST
TUESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE POLAR JET WILL
SHIFT INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS INTO NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL UTAH WEDNESDAY, THOUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS HAVE TRENDED WEAKER WITH THIS FRONT. EXPECT TEMPERATURES
WEDNESDAY TO BE AROUND 3-5 DEGREES COOLER, MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL UTAH.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SHIFT SOUTH ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
REMNANT BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS AN AREA OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE SHIFTS INTO THE GREAT
BASIN. ANY PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIGHT AND MAY REPRESENT MORE A
DRY MICROBURST THREAT.
CONDITIONS WILL TREND DRIER FRIDAY AS THE REMNANT BOUNDARY SHIFTS
NORTH AND WEST OF THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL EJECT ACROSS
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST SATURDAY AS THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF UPPER
LEVEL LOWS DROPS SOUTH OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS
PERIOD...SATURDAY INTO MONDAY...REPRESENTS THE HIGHEST CHANCE FOR
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE SNOW LEVEL WILL
FALL TO NEAR 6500-7000 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY. CURRENT CHANCE OF
ADVISORY AMOUNTS OF SNOW FOR THE WASATCH MOUNTAINS (IE 9+ INCHES)
IS LESS THAN 20%, EVEN OVER THE EXTENDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY
PERIOD. 25TH TO 75TH PERCENTILE SWE/RAIN AMOUNTS ARE CURRENTLY
BETWEEN 0.25-0.50" FOR MOST VALLEYS SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY, WITH MOST MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS FALLING BETWEEN 0.75-1.25".
AVIATION...KSLC
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON, TRANSITIONING TO LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 03-04Z.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH SCATTERED MID TO HIGH CLOUDS.
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING
LARGELY TERRAIN-DRIVEN
WINDS WILL PERSIST, WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING VFR CONDITIONS AND
MID TO HIGH CLOUDS. ACROSS SOUTHERN UTAH, HOWEVER, ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED HIGH-BASED SHOWERS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WINDS (10% CHANCE OF GREATER THAN 35KTS) BEFORE ROUGHLY
02-03Z.
SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
KRUSE/CUNNINGHAM
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY
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