468
FXUS65 KSLC 152025
AFDSLC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
225 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES, ISSUED 1218 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2026
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEK, WITH THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES
OF THE SEASON ACROSS AREAS LIKE ST. GEORGE AND GLEN CANYON
NATIONAL RECREATION AREA.
- GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HOT AND VERY DRY AIRMASS
WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN, CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN UTAH
WHERE FUELS ARE CRITICALLY DRY.
DISCUSSION, ISSUED 1218 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2026
REMNANT MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS WILL
AGAIN ALLOW FOR ISOLATED HIGH-BASED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INSTABILITY WILL BE MUCH MORE LIMITED
TODAY, WITH SBCAPE VALUES CLOSER TO 100-250 J/KG. A STRAY
MICROBURST OR TWO WITH WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH IS THE MOST PROBABLE
OUTCOME.
WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM REMAINING QUITE ACTIVE TO THE NORTH
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, EXPECT NORTHWEST FLOW TO INCREASE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOMING
MORE WIDESPREAD TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL,
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN UTAH. SEE THE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR
MORE INFORMATION.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD THURSDAY, DECREASING
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. BY SATURDAY, A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH,
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
UTAH FRIDAY, WITH HIGH-BASED CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHERN UTAH.
WHILE THE BEST FORCING FOR CONVECTION SHIFTS EAST BY SUNDAY
MORNING, ISOLATED HIGH-BASED CONVECTION MAY CONTINUE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AVIATION, ISSUED 1218 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2026
KSLC, ISSUED 1218 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2026...
THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTH BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z.
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING
THE AIRSPACE WILL SEE VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA
WILL SEE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS.
FIRE WEATHER
REMNANT MOISTURE WILL BRING THE THREAT OF ISOLATED
HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS AND VIRGA TO THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS AND
ADJACENT VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
MICROBURST WINDS WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY IMPACT.
AS ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES TO THE NORTH OF UTAH, AN INCREASE IN
WINDS WILL BRING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF
EASTERN UTAH TODAY, SPREADING TO THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS TUESDAY.
BY WEDNESDAY, THE STRONGER WINDS WILL SHIFT FURTHER SOUTH, WITH
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPANDING TO IMPACT THE GRAND
STAIRCASE AND HENRY MOUNTAINS.
WHILE WINDS WILL DECREASE THURSDAY, ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL
APPROACH THE GREAT BASIN FRIDAY, INCREASING WINDS ONCE AGAIN, THIS
TIME ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN UTAH. WIND WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED INTO SATURDAY IN THESE SAME AREAS. THE THREAT OF HIGH-
BASED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO INCREASE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE.
SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR UTZ482-488-489-493.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
UTZ484-496.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR UTZ494-498.
WY...NONE.
PUBLIC...
AVIATION...
FIRE WEATHER...KRUSE
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY
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