856
FXUS65 KSLC 161851
AFDSLC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1251 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES, ISSUED 940 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2026
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK, WITH THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ACROSS AREAS LIKE ST. GEORGE AND GLEN CANYON NATIONAL
RECREATION AREA.
- GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH A HOT AND VERY DRY AIRMASS
WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN, CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN UTAH
WHERE FUELS ARE CRITICALLY DRY.
DISCUSSION, ISSUED 940 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2026
MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BUILD
INLAND ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN GREAT BASIN REGION THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, SPREADING A HOT AND VERY DRY AIRMASS ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL TREND A FEW DEGREES
WARMER TUESDAY, REACHING THE LOW 90S ALONG MUCH OF THE WASATCH
FRONT, AND EXCEEDING 105F ACROSS LOWER WASHINGTON COUNTY, ZION
CANYON, AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE GLEN CANYON RECREATION AREA.
WITH THIS RIDGE REMAINING CENTERED TO THE WEST, A GENERAL
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL RESIDE ACROSS THE AREA AS WELL ALLOWING FOR
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS, AND RESULTING IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WHERE FUELS ARE SUFFICIENTLY DRY. THIS FLOW WILL BE
ENHANCED SOMEWHAT ON WEDNESDAY WITH A SHORTWAVE PASSING TO THE
NORTH. SEE THE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFORMATION.
THIS RIDGE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY
RESULTING IN LIGHTER WINDS, BUT MAINTAINING A VERY DRY AIRMASS.
AS THIS RIDGE CONTINUES EAST, SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL SPREAD
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY SHIFTING THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT
TO WESTERN UTAH. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE INTO THE GREAT
BASIN FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, RESULTING IN A THREAT FOR HIGH
BASED CONVECTION MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH. LINGERING MOISTURE MAY
KEEP THIS CONVECTIVE THREAT GOING INTO SUNDAY.
AVIATION, ISSUED 1210 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2026
KSLC, ISSUED 1210 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2026...
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WAY OF THE ONGOING WEATHER
PATTERN. BENIGN VFR CONDITIONS FAVORED TO CONTINUE WITH CLEAR TO
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KTS, AND DIRECTIONS
FOLLOWING A DIURNALLY NORMAL PATTERN (BECOMING SE ~02-04Z WED, BACK
NW ~14-16Z THEREAFTER).
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING
A LARGELY BENIGN WEATHER
PATTERN PERSISTS WITH CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, VFR CONDITIONS,
AND WINDS THAT GENERALLY FOLLOW A DIURNALLY TYPICAL DIRECTION
PATTERN. SOME TERMINALS WILL SEE DAYTIME GUSTS AROUND 20-30 KTS,
PRIMARILY THOSE THAT ARE MORE EXPOSED OR TYPICALLY BREEZY.
FIRE WEATHER
A LONG DURATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL
IMPACT MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. AS THE
NORTHERN STREAM REMAINS ACTIVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION, GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS UTAH.
THIS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITIES AND POOR OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES TO BRING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO EASTERN
AND SOUTHERN UTAH THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY, HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRIEFLY SHIFT EASTWARD...AND WIND GUSTS WILL DECREASE. SOME
LOCATIONS MAY SEE ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT VALLEYS.
BY FRIDAY, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CROSS THE GREAT BASIN,
INCREASING WINDS AHEAD OF A MAINLY DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH LATE
EVENING FRIDAY NIGHT. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL
OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN UTAH AS EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WILL
COMBINE WITH HUMIDITIES NEAR 5 TO 10 PERCENT TO BRING CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO WESTERN UTAH FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO LATE
FRIDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL AREAS ACROSS SOUTHERN UTAH MAY ALSO
SEE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOWER
AT THIS TIME.
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS...AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN UTAH. THIS TREND MAY EXPAND WITH TIME OVER THE
WEEKEND.
SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT FOR UTZ478-492-495.
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR UTZ482-484-488-489-
493-494-496-498.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
FOR UTZ497.
WY...NONE.
PUBLIC...SEAMAN
AVIATION...WARTHEN
FIRE WEATHER...KRUSE
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY
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