312
FXUS62 KTAE 161959
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
259 PM EST MON DEC 16 2024
...NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 239 PM EST MON DEC 16 2024
WE REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT, LEADING TO PLEASANT WEATHER CONDITIONS AS HIGH TEMPS REACH
THE MID TO UPPER 70S. FAIR WEATHER CLOUDS LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES EXPECTED. OVERNIGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR PATCHY TO
WIDESPREAD FOG WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES. OVERNIGHT
LOW TEMPS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 50S.
SHORT AND LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 239 PM EST MON DEC 16 2024
A DEEP TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN CONUS WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. HOWEVER, IT'LL BE LACKING GOOD MOISTURE RETURN WITH PWATS
STRUGGLING TO REACH 1.25 INCHES ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. OUR
EASTERNMOST COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY REACHING 1.5 INCHES AND THIS WILL
LINE UP WITH WHERE OUR BEST PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE. OTHERWISE, LOW
PRECIP CHANCES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION, WITH AROUND
0.5 INCHES OR LESS OF RAINFALL EXPECTED. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TEMPS
WILL ONCE AGAIN DIP AS COLD AND DRY CP AIR BULLDOZES THROUGH THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND.
EXPECT OVERNIGHT TEMPS TO BE IN THE 30S POST-FRONTAL WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS BEING IN THE 50S POST-FRONTAL.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1141 AM EST MON DEC 16 2024
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF
THE DAY. UNFORTUNATELY, IFR TO LIFR VISIBILITIES APPEAR EXTREMELY
LIKELY ACROSS KTLH, VLD, KDHN, AND KABY ONCE AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING.
MVFR VISIBILITIES WILL LIKELY BEGIN AROUND 06Z ACROSS THE
AFOREMENTIONED SITES BEFORE DETERIORATING TO 1SM OR LESS AROUND 09Z.
THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR LESS THAN 1SM WILL BE AT KDHN, KABY, AND
KVLD. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RESUME FOLLOWING 14Z, THOUGH SOME OF THE
FOG COULD TRANSITION TO LOW STRATUS IF THE WINDS PICK UP RESULTING
IN A LONGER DURATION OF MVFR-IFR CONDITIONS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 239 PM EST MON DEC 16 2024
GENERALLY FAIR BOATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK. A
COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF WATERS IN THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WEEK LOOKS TO ELEVATE WINDS TO CAUTIONARY CONDITIONS,
BORDERLINE SCA CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 239 PM EST MON DEC 16 2024
LOW DISPERSIONS DUE TO LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT MIDWEEK WILL BRING FAIR TO GOOD
DISPERSIONS AND MINIMAL RAINFALL. TEMPS COOL DOWN BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 239 PM EST MON DEC 16 2024
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND HALF AN INCH OR LESS
THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE NO FLOODING CONCERNS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 57 78 62 76 / 0 0 10 30
PANAMA CITY 56 76 60 74 / 0 0 10 20
DOTHAN 52 75 57 76 / 0 0 0 20
ALBANY 52 76 58 76 / 0 0 0 20
VALDOSTA 57 79 62 77 / 0 10 10 40
CROSS CITY 59 80 63 78 / 0 20 10 30
APALACHICOLA 58 72 61 70 / 0 10 10 30
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
NEAR TERM...OLIVER
SHORT TERM...OLIVER
LONG TERM....OLIVER
AVIATION...WORSTER
MARINE...OLIVER
FIRE WEATHER...OLIVER
HYDROLOGY...OLIVER
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