162
FXUS62 KTAE 221107
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
607 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
..NEW AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 249 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
BENIGN WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. AFTERNOON HIGHS TODAY ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S ACROSS THE AREA
WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN
COUNTIES TO LOWER 40S ALONG THE COAST. SOME FROST IS POSSIBLE
TONIGHT WHERE TEMPERATURES REACH THE MID 30S.
SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 249 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
FAIRLY BENIGN CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH MIDWEEK LOOKS TO GENERALLY KEEP
DEW POINTS BELOW 50 DEGREES. THUS, NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF MOISTURE
RETURN TO FORCE IMPACTFUL WEATHER.
A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
STATES ON MONDAY WITH THE SURFACE GULF LOW REMAINING OFFSHORE. THIS
WILL PLACE US ON THE COOLER, STABLE, SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. OVERRUNNING
STRATIFORM PRECIP IS EXPECTED AS INSTABILITY/CONVECTION IS
SUPPRESSED. LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WE'LL START TO SEE A CLOCK
AROUND FROM GENERALLY NORTHERLY FLOW TO MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW. THIS WILL ALLOW SOME MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE ON THURSDAY. CURRENT GUIDANCE SHOWS FAVORABLE UPPER-
LEVEL SUPPORT FOR ASCENT BUT NOT MUCH SHEAR OR INSTABILITY. WITH
DEW POINTS STRUGGLING TO MAKE IT INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S,
CONVECTION MAY ALSO BE SUPPRESSED OR MAY BE LIMITED TO SHALLOW
STORMS ALONG THE GULF COAST.
EXPECT DAYTIME HIGHS INITIALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S ON SUNDAY TO
GRADUALLY WARM UP THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK INTO THE MID 70S. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 40S ALL WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 606 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT
SURFACE WINDS AND SOME HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS THE AREA.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 249 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
FAVORABLE BOATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KNOTS. A DISTURBANCE LOOKS TO MOVE
ACROSS THE WATERS ON MONDAY LEADING TO 2 TO 4 FOOT SEAS. SEAS COME
BACK DOWN BELOW 2 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 249 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE TODAY AND
SUNDAY. MINRH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DIP INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
30S FOR MOST OF THE REGION. THE EXCEPTION TO THAT IS OVER THE
SUWANNEE VALLEY AND I-75 CORRIDOR, WHERE MINRH IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
A BIT MORE ELEVATED.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 249 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025
GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK, THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO FLOODING CONCERNS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 63 38 64 46 / 0 0 0 30
PANAMA CITY 61 43 63 47 / 0 0 20 50
DOTHAN 59 35 60 43 / 0 0 10 30
ALBANY 60 33 61 41 / 0 0 0 30
VALDOSTA 62 37 64 46 / 0 0 0 20
CROSS CITY 65 39 68 47 / 0 0 0 30
APALACHICOLA 60 44 60 49 / 0 0 10 50
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...OLIVER
LONG TERM....OLIVER
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...OLIVER
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...OLIVER
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