988
FXUS62 KTAE 300112
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
912 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2025
..NEW UPDATE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 911 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2025
OTHER THAN LOWERING POPS FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT, THE FORECAST
IS LARGELY ON TRACK.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2025
SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE QUICKLY DEVELOPED
THIS AFTERNOON AND ACTIVITY SHOULD SLOWLY DRIFT INLAND THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. THIS SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY SHOULD PROVIDE
RELIEF TO THE WIDESPREAD HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH, CURRENTLY OVER THE REGION, SLIDES WEST ON
WEDNESDAY, EXPECT THE GREATEST SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY TO SHIFT
WEST WITH IT. DRIER MID-LEVEL AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION FROM
THE SOUTHEAST BEHIND THIS SURFACE TROUGH WILL ALSO AID IN THE
REDUCTION OF SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES ACROSS THE BIG BEND AND INTO
SOUTHERN GEORGIA.
AS FOR THE HEAT, MUCH OF THE AREA WILL LIKELY SEE ANOTHER AFTERNOON
OF HEAT INDICES ABOVE 108, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA WHERE RAIN CHANCES ARE LOWER ON WEDNESDAY.
FURTHER WEST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA, THE RISK
FOR HITTING 108 IS LOWER GIVEN THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
HIGHER POTENTIAL FOR SHOWER/STORM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, EVEN HERE
THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL OF HITTING 108 FOR UP TO AN HOUR
BEFORE ACTIVITY BEGINS TO DEVELOP. WITH THIS IN MIND HAVE KEPT
THESE LOCATIONS UNDER A HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW, ALONG WITH THE
REST OF OUR FORECAST AREA.
SHORT TERM
LONG TERM
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 722 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2025
CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY IMPROVING, WITH SHRA/TSRA STILL
LINGERING NEAR KDHN AND KABY AT THE MOMENT. OUTSIDE OF ANY
STUBBORN SHRA/TSRA, A GENERAL IMPROVEMENT TO VFR WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TOMORROW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2025
WESTERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT AROUND 5-10 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH SEAS OF 1-2 FEET. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH DAY BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2025
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN HOT THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND
THOSE WILL BE THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERNS FOR FOLKS OUTSIDE
THROUGH THE WEEK. WHILE RAIN CHANCES WILL STICK AROUND
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY, RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE SOME AS DRIER
MID-LEVEL AIR MOVES IN. FIRE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LOW BUT
DISPERSIONS WILL BEGIN TO CREEP UP SLOWLY THROUGH THE WEEK.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2025
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEK.
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AS AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS WILL
ONLY BE AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES. L
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 77 95 77 95 / 30 50 10 40
PANAMA CITY 79 92 80 91 / 40 40 10 30
DOTHAN 75 94 76 94 / 40 70 10 40
ALBANY 75 95 76 95 / 40 70 10 30
VALDOSTA 75 97 76 98 / 30 40 10 20
CROSS CITY 77 94 76 94 / 10 30 10 20
APALACHICOLA 80 91 80 91 / 20 20 10 30
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/
WEDNESDAY FOR FLZ007>019-027>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-
127-128-134-326-426.
GA...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR GAZ120>131-
142>148-155>161.
AL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ALZ065>069.
GM...NONE.
NEAR TERM...DOBBS
SHORT TERM...DOBBS
LONG TERM....DOBBS
AVIATION...HUMPHREYS
MARINE...DOBBS
FIRE WEATHER...DOBBS
HYDROLOGY...DOBBS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page