879
FXUS62 KTAE 082120
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
420 PM EST MON DEC 8 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 231 PM EST MON DEC 8 2025
- A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM THE OKALOOSA/WALTON
COUNTY LINE TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
- THE WORK WEEK WILL FEATURE LITTLE OR NO RAIN AFTER THIS MORNING,
ALONG WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 231 PM EST MON DEC 8 2025
NOW POST-FRONTAL WE'LL SEE COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS AS NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILS. WEDNESDAY MORNING THE FLOW
TURNS SOUTHERLY BRIEFLY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS TO APPROACH THE
REGION. HOWEVER, DEW POINTS STRUGGLE TO RECOVER INTO THE MID 50S,
CONFINED MOSTLY TO OUR FL COASTAL COUNTIES. THUS NOT MUCH IS
EXPECTED OUT OF THIS FRONTAL FEATURE AS IT MOVES THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING, MAYBE A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO. BEHIND
THIS FRONT, HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND, WE'LL SEE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION WITH DRY NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW. FAIRLY BENIGN CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERALL.
A COUPLE CHILLY MORNINGS ARE IN STORE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW NIGHT
WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 30S WITH A FEW ISOLATED AREAS
HITTING THE UPPER 20S. PATCHY TO WIDESPREAD FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE BEST COVERAGE EXPECTED TO BE TOMORROW NIGHT AS WINDS GO
CALM AND SKIES CLEAR OUT. MAKE SURE THAT PEOPLE, PETS, PIPES AND
PLANTS ARE SECURED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE NIGHTS. A SLIGHT WARM UP IS
EXPECTED FOR THE OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS AFTER WEDNESDAY AS TEMPS CLIMB
INTO THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S THRU SUNDAY MORNING.
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPS WILL BE A BIT MORE STABLE WITH DAYTIME HIGHS
BEING WITH COOLEST TOMORROW WITH WIDESPREAD MID TO UPPER 50S.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL SEE A GRADUAL WARM UP TO DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPS GENERALLY BEING IN THE 60S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 100 PM EST MON DEC 8 2025
LOW STRATUS REMAINS IN PLACE, ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR EASTERN
TERMINALS NEAR VLD. WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING.
HOWEVER, SOME BREAKS IN THE STRATUS ACROSS ECP/DHN ARE LEADING TO
VFR/MVFR IMPROVEMENTS. AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS IN, CONTINUED
IMPROVEMENTS ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY AT ECP/DHN AND POSSIBLY TLH.
LATER TODAY SOME IMPROVEMENTS TO MVFR ARE POSSIBLE AT VLD.
WHILE MOST TERMINALS IMPROVE TO VFR OVERNIGHT, SOME LOCAL MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS COULD REDEVELOP OR PERSIST ACROSS ABY/VLD AS LOW-STRATUS
IS SLOW TO CLEAR.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 231 PM EST MON DEC 8 2025
A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TODAY CLOCKS WINDS AROUND FROM THE NORTH. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT
FOR WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS. A GRADUAL RETURN TO MORE TRANQUIL BOATING
CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY WHICH SHOULD LAST THROUGH FRIDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 231 PM EST MON DEC 8 2025
TRANSPORT WINDS BECOME WEAK AND EASTERLY ON TUESDAY LEADING TO LOW
DISPERSIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION, THEN BECOME BRISK AND
SOUTHWESTERLY ON WEDNESDAY LEADING TO GOOD DISPERSIONS AGAIN. A
MOIST AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE TODAY BEFORE DRIER AIR MOVES IN FOR
MIDWEEK WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RHS IN THE 40S FOR PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. OUTSIDE THEN THE LOW DISPERSIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON, THERE ARE
CURRENTLY NO OTHER FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 231 PM EST MON DEC 8 2025
WIDESPREAD 2-4 INCH AMOUNTS WITH POCKETS OF 4-6 INCH AMOUNTS IN THE
EASTERN FL PANHANDLE HAVE AMOUNTED TO SOME IMPROVEMENT IN REGIONAL
DROUGHT CONDITIONS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT WEEK.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON LOCAL IMPACTS FROM DROUGHT, PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LOCALDROUGHT.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 37 58 35 67 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 38 58 42 68 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 32 54 32 64 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 33 54 31 64 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 36 56 31 64 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 39 62 36 67 / 0 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 41 57 44 66 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST /11 PM CST/ TONIGHT FOR
FLZ114.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ TUESDAY FOR
GMZ751-752-755-770-772-775.
SHORT TERM...OLIVER
LONG TERM....OLIVER
AVIATION...DOBBS
MARINE...OLIVER
FIRE WEATHER...OLIVER
HYDROLOGY...OLIVER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page