460
FXUS62 KTAE 091506
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1006 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1001 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
- A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH
NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IMPACTFUL COLD WEATHER IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN NORTH OF THE REGION.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1001 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
NO UPDATES TO THE FORECAST WERE MADE THIS MORNING. LOW-LEVEL
STRATUS FILTERING IN FROM THE NORTHEASTH WILL SLOWLY SCATTER
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING.
SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
THIS MORNING AND WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE CHILLY WITH LOWS IN
THE 30S AWAY FROM GULF COAST. HIGHS IN THE 50S TODAY (COOLEST
IN SOUTHWEST GA CLOSER TO THE 25TH PERCENTILE OF GUIDANCE) WILL
WARM INTO THE 60S ON WEDNESDAY IN ADVANCE OF A DRY COLD FRONT,
WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING AROUND 20 MPH. BRIEFLY COOLER IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WITH MID-50S TO MID-60S FOR
HIGHS BEFORE WARMING WELL INTO THE 60S FRIDAY. THE TREND WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH CONTINUED DRY WEATHER, AND THE
NEXT POTENTIAL COLD FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS MENTIONED ABOVE,
A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH
NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IMPACTFUL COLD WEATHER IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN NORTH OF THE REGION.
LONG TERM
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 639 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FEW PATCHES OF STRATUS CLOUDS MOVE
SOUTHWEST ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA, WHILE SURFACE OBS SHOWS CIGS AND
CLOUD BASES IN THE 003-010 RANGE AS WE APPROACH SUNRISE. THESE
CLOUDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS ABY, DHN, AND POSSIBLY TLH. UNLIKELY TO
REACH ECP. CLOUD CIGS WILL LIFT STARTING A FEW HOURS AFTER
SUNRISE, WITH CLOUDS DISSIPATING DURING THE AFTERNOON. A CLEAR
EVENING IS EXPECTED.
NEAR-SURFACE MOISTURE AND NEARLY CALM WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE
INGREDIENTS FOR SHALLOW GROUND FOG.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
FRESH NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL SUBSIDE THIS MORNING, ALTHOUGH
SEAS REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY, WITH TRANQUIL
BOATING CONDITIONS BY TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE IN
ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY, AND REMAIN ELEVATED INTO
THURSDAY MORNING, IN THE 15 TO 20 KT RANGE. THERE IS A LOW
(30%) CHANCE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. TRANQUIL
BOATING CONDITIONS RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
A DRY PERIOD OF WEATHER IS ON TAP FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK.
THE MAIN FIRE WEATHER CONCERN WILL BE LOW DISPERSION THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON OVER ALL BUT THE SOUTHEAST FL BIG BEND DUE TO
LIGHT NORTHEAST TRANSPORT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BECOME
BRISK SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY, YIELDING GOOD DISPERSION, THEN
BECOME NORTHWEST AFTER A DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LEADING TO
FAIR DISPERSION ON THURSDAY. NO OTHER FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 1203 AM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS NOT UNTIL AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE NO FLOODING CONCERNS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 56 34 66 43 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 57 40 67 46 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 55 33 64 38 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 52 32 63 38 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 53 33 64 41 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 60 37 66 46 / 0 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 56 42 65 48 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...LF
LONG TERM....LF
AVIATION...HANER
MARINE...LF
FIRE WEATHER...LF
HYDROLOGY...LF
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