123
FXUS62 KTAE 091852
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
152 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
...NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
- A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH
NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IMPACTFUL COLD WEATHER IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN NORTH OF THE REGION.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WILL SLIDE EASTWARD ON
WEDNESDAY IN ADVANCE OF A DRY COLD FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT
WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 30S ACROSS INLAND AREAS TO
AROUND 40 FOR THE BEACHES. AREAS OF FROST ARE EXPECTED INLAND. ON
WEDNESDAY, A SOUTHWEST BREEZE WILL PICK UP AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH
GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 60S WITH DRY
CONDITIONS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
BRIEFLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF
THE DRY COLD FRONT WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 50S TO MID 60S
ACROSS THE AREA. A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE ON FRIDAY, AND BY THE
WEEKEND, HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BACK INTO THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S FOR MOST OF THE AREA. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH COOLER CONDITIONS AGAIN IN ITS WAKE FOR
MONDAY. RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO LOOK LOW WITH WNW FLOW ALOFT AND
A LACK OF MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE GULF.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
A MIX OF MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS ARE PRESENT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
STUBBORN STRATUS DECK WILL SLOWLY PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AFFECTING MAINLY DHN/VLD/ABY THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY PARTS OF
WEDNESDAY. BY 08Z AREAS OF MVFR/IFR CIGS COULD REDEVELOP, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS DHN/ABY/VLD, AND PERSIST BRIEFLY AFTER SUNRISE. HOWEVER,
CONFIDENCE REMAINS QUITE LOW IN THE PLACEMENT AND IT'S POSSIBLE SOME
TERMINALS DON'T SEE RESTRICTIONS WEDNESDAY MORNING SO THESE
CONDITIONS WERE REPRESENTED IN TEMPO GROUPS. IN AREAS WHERE MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS DEVELOP, VFR SHOULD RETURN BY 15Z WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A COLD
FRONT AND REMAIN ELEVATED INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION. TRANQUIL BOATING CONDITIONS WILL RETURN THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
THERE ARE NO MAJOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. A DRY PERIOD OF WEATHER IS
ON TAP FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE ON
WEDNESDAY, YIELDING GOOD DISPERSION, THEN BECOME NORTHWEST AFTER A
DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH FAIR DISPERSION ON THURSDAY.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAY WITH NO FLOODING
CONCERNS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 34 65 42 60 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 41 67 44 61 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 32 64 38 57 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 31 62 37 57 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 31 64 39 59 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 37 66 44 64 / 0 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 42 65 46 61 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...DOBBS
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD
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