635
FXUS62 KTAE 100300
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1000 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 951 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
- A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH
NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IMPACTFUL COLD WEATHER IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN NORTH OF THE REGION.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 951 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
TONIGHT COULD PROVE TO BE CHALLENGING AS IT RELATES TO FOG. TEMPS
HAVE COOLED FASTER THAN FORECAST OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
GEORGIA TO NEAR FREEZING. HOWEVER THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MOIST AT
NEAR 100% RH. THIS COMBINATION COULD POSSIBLY LEAD TO THE PRESENCE
OF FREEZING FOG UNDER THE RIGHT CONDITIONS. FREEZING FOG HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO FREEZE ON CONTACT, TYPICALLY ON EXPOSED AND ELEVATED
SURFACES WHICH COULD PROVE HAZARDOUS ON DRIVING SURFACES LIKE
BRIDGES. FREEZING FOG ISN'T COMMON ACROSS OUR REGION, THUS REMAIN
CAUTIOUS AND ALERT IF YOU'RE TRAVELING TONIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WILL SLIDE EASTWARD ON
WEDNESDAY IN ADVANCE OF A DRY COLD FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT
WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 30S ACROSS INLAND AREAS TO
AROUND 40 FOR THE BEACHES. AREAS OF FROST ARE EXPECTED INLAND. ON
WEDNESDAY, A SOUTHWEST BREEZE WILL PICK UP AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH
GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 60S WITH DRY
CONDITIONS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
BRIEFLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF
THE DRY COLD FRONT WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 50S TO MID 60S
ACROSS THE AREA. A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE ON FRIDAY, AND BY THE
WEEKEND, HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BACK INTO THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S FOR MOST OF THE AREA. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH COOLER CONDITIONS AGAIN IN ITS WAKE FOR
MONDAY. RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO LOOK LOW WITH WNW FLOW ALOFT AND
A LACK OF MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE GULF.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 652 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. BY 09Z MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS COULD REDEVELOP, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS DHN/ABY/VLD, AND LAST BRIEFLY AFTER SUNRISE. HOWEVER,
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN THE PLACEMENT AND IT'S POSSIBLE TERMINALS
DON'T SEE RESTRICTIONS TOMORROW MORNING, SO THESE CONDITIONS WERE
REPRESENTED IN TEMPO GROUPS. IN AREAS WHERE MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
DEVELOP, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN BY 14Z-15Z
TOMORROW MORNING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A COLD
FRONT AND REMAIN ELEVATED INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION. TRANQUIL BOATING CONDITIONS WILL RETURN THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
THERE ARE NO MAJOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. A DRY PERIOD OF WEATHER IS
ON TAP FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE ON
WEDNESDAY, YIELDING GOOD DISPERSION, THEN BECOME NORTHWEST AFTER A
DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH FAIR DISPERSION ON THURSDAY.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 149 PM EST TUE DEC 9 2025
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAY WITH NO FLOODING
CONCERNS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 34 65 42 60 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 41 67 44 61 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 32 64 38 57 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 31 62 37 57 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 31 64 39 59 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 37 66 44 64 / 0 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 42 65 46 61 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...OLIVER
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD
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