916
FXUS62 KTAE 270624
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
124 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 120 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2025
- ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SLOW DOWN DUE TO SUDDEN
REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY.
- AFTER AN UNSEASONABLY WARM STRETCH OF WEATHER, SHARPLY COLDER
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT AND LAST FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. COLD WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE ANTICIPATED
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 217 PM EST FRI DEC 26 2025
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. WILL GRADUALLY
SLIDE EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL HELP KEEP THIS
UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR MASS IN PLACE WITH HIGHS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 70S. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIG INTO
THE EASTERN U.S. BEGINNING MONDAY AND THIS WILL HELP TO DRIVE A COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE AREA ON THAT DAY. BEHIND THE FRONT, TEMPERATURES
WILL TURN SHARPLY COLDER. A BRIEF LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY
MORNING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER,
WHEN THE WIND IS FACTORED IN, WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER
TEENS NORTH TO THE LOWER 20S. THIS MEETS COLD WEATHER ADVISORY
CRITERIA. TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL SEE SOME OF THE COLDEST DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER
50S. ANOTHER COLD WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE NECESSARY TUESDAY NIGHT.
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE A BIT AFTER THAT, IT WILL STILL BE
CHILLY WITH LOWS IN THE 30S EACH MORNING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 120 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2025
AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CEILINGS ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS AGAIN THROUGH
MID MORNING, IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION. A
GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH A
RETURN TO VFR LIKELY. ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG AND LOW CEILINGS SHOULD
BE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 217 PM EST FRI DEC 26 2025
LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS
WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY AND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE ON MONDAY. RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AND WINDS
WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS BEHIND IT. THESE ELEVATED
WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY BEFORE DROPPING BELOW CAUTIONARY
LEVELS BY WEDNESDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 217 PM EST FRI DEC 26 2025
FOGGY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE
AFTER A MONDAY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL PREVENT
RED FLAG CONDITIONS FROM BEING REACHED, BUT RH WILL DROP INTO THE
20S FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS ON TUESDAY
AS WELL.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 217 PM EST FRI DEC 26 2025
THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA REMAINS IN DROUGHT WITH PORTIONS OF THE FL
BIG BEND STILL SUFFERING FROM EXTREME DROUGHT. WHILE SOME RAIN IS
EXPECTED WITH MONDAY'S COLD FRONT, ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 77 59 76 59 / 0 0 10 0
PANAMA CITY 74 61 73 61 / 10 10 10 20
DOTHAN 77 59 76 59 / 0 0 0 20
ALBANY 76 59 76 59 / 0 0 0 10
VALDOSTA 77 59 77 58 / 10 0 10 0
CROSS CITY 76 58 77 55 / 0 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 72 60 70 61 / 0 10 10 10
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...WOOL
LONG TERM....WOOL
AVIATION...OLIVER
MARINE...WOOL
FIRE WEATHER...WOOL
HYDROLOGY...WOOL
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