255
FXUS62 KTAE 280610
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
110 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2026
...NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 106 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2026
- AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING, PARTICULARLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA, SOUTHWEST GEORGIA, AND PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
- A HIGH RISK OF LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR THE
EASTERN PANHANDLE BEACHES TODAY.
- UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID 80S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 106 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2026
AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING WITH RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IN THE WAKE OF FRIDAY'S RAINFALL COMBINED WITH CLEARING
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF FOG IS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA, SOUTHWEST GEORGIA, AND THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. ONCE THE FOG DISSIPATES BY MID-MORNING, EXPECT PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 60S TO MID
70S. THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS.
OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE MOSTLY FROM THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 106 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2026
A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
BUILDS OFF THE EAST COAST AND TROUGHING DIGS INTO THE WESTERN
STATES. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S BY
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S,
WARMING TO NEAR 60 BY THE END OF THE WEEK. RAIN LOOKS SCARCE
OVERALL. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS WITH RETURN FLOW
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, BUT THIS DOES NOT CURRENTLY LOOK
SIGNIFICANT.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 106 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2026
CIGS AND VSBYS WILL BE FALLING THROUGH THE NIGHT EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS. LIGHT
TO CALM WINDS WITH A STABLE/MOIST ATMOSPHERE IS THE CULPRIT.
CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE BY MID MORNING, WITH VFR
CONDITIONS RETURNING FOR ALL TAF SITES BY MID-AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 106 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2026
WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY TODAY, THEN MORE
OUT OF THE EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH FRESH BREEZES POSSIBLE
DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. EASTERLY WINDS NEAR 20
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WATERS WEST OF APALACHICOLA TUESDAY
MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 106 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2026
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, BUT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS. LIGHT NORTHEAST TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, THEN BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST NEXT WEEK.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 106 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2026
THERE ARE NO FLOODING CONCERNS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH
LITTLE RAINFALL EXPECTED.
FOR MORE LOCAL DROUGHT INFORMATION & STATEMENTS, VISIT THE
FOLLOWING WEBSITE: HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAE/LOCALDROUGHT
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN
THEY OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 74 50 78 50 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 74 53 75 54 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 72 49 76 51 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 70 47 77 49 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 72 48 78 47 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 76 48 80 47 / 20 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 69 54 70 56 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR FLZ007>011.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ108-112-114.
GA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR GAZ120>129-
142>147-155>159.
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR ALZ065>069.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...MONTGOMERY
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD
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